BRENTCommodities

Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

UTCGlobal UTC

Brent crude oil H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

H4 Market Breakdown of Brent crude oil: move, structure and observed levels during US election week.

BRENT4H · Nov 2, 2026Global UTCVolatilità

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Focus close101.77

-14.39 · -12.39%

Focus change

Focus high116.78Focus low96.71

Focus volume0Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

Focus duration7,200 min30 candles · 4H

DISCIPLY INTELLIGENCE 3.0

Reconstructing the move from data

Quantitative analysis available

The move in 30 seconds

BRENTCash# / 4H · 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC → 11/7/26, 12:00 AM UTC

Change -12.39% · Observed range 96.71 – 116.78 · 30 OHLC

Move Price closed the focus below its opening: 116.16 → 101.77 (-14.39; -12.39%).

Before Before the focus, available candles ranged between 106.87 – 118.83.

Confirmations The focus low fell below the previous low. Two closes beyond a zone confirmed at least one observed break (114.80; 12:00 PM UTC).

Weaknesses A break later closed back inside its zone.

Lesson The lesson is to separate the first crossing from confirmation and review what followed.

A level is a zone where price reacted. A wick beyond the zone is not a confirmed close. Confirmation becomes knowable only after subsequent candles.

Before the move

ATR 1.37225 · NATR 1.17146% · RV 0.94476%51/100NormalRange expansion · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 1.21073Historical percentiles NATR 12.2449 · RV 69.38776 · TR 71.4285710/30/26, 8:00 PM UTC · n=49

Peak DVI

ATR 2.08644 · NATR 2.11843% · RV 1.76283%99/100ExtremeRange expansion · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 2.49932Historical percentiles NATR 100 · RV 100 · TR 97.0149311/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · n=67

What happened next

There are no completed candles after the focus

Relative measures for the same feed and timeframe. DVI is not VIX and does not directly compare different assets. Provider volume is not necessarily centralized. Broker calendars, rolls and splits are unverified: no conversion into CFD prices.

The move on the chart

Move timeline · 30 OHLC

11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 116.16 · H 116.78 · L 115.76 · C 115.96
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 115.47 · H 115.50 · L 113.91 · C 113.98
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 114.07 · H 114.86 · L 113.98 · C 114.33
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 112.78 · H 113.18 · L 112.39 · C 113.01
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 110.76 · H 111.15 · L 109.66 · C 110.17
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 108.27 · H 109.19 · L 107.30 · C 108.74
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 108.25 · H 108.26 · L 108.00 · C 108.11
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 108.67 · H 109.11 · L 108.18 · C 108.73
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 109.75 · H 111.27 · L 109.66 · C 110.54
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 109.55 · H 110.63 · L 109.24 · C 110.55
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 105.65 · H 108.32 · L 105.62 · C 107.18
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 107.45 · H 108.30 · L 107.20 · C 108.28
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 108.26 · H 108.26 · L 107.98 · C 108.04
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 106.88 · H 107.10 · L 106.28 · C 106.84
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 107.50 · H 108.37 · L 107.36 · C 107.50
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 106.59 · H 106.59 · L 105.23 · C 105.97
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 104.27 · H 105.18 · L 102.47 · C 102.95
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 97.98 · H 99.30 · L 97.73 · C 98.49
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 97.99 · H 98.00 · L 97.69 · C 97.79
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 97.27 · H 97.63 · L 96.71 · C 97.00
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 97.55 · H 98.60 · L 97.14 · C 98.43
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 99.28 · H 100.19 · L 99.22 · C 100.19
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 100.02 · H 101.27 · L 99.90 · C 100.38
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 100.73 · H 102.15 · L 100.64 · C 101.86
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 102.58 · H 102.82 · L 102.45 · C 102.63
11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 102.71 · H 104.19 · L 102.70 · C 103.36
11/6/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 103.28 · H 103.62 · L 102.09 · C 102.12
11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 100.04 · H 102.18 · L 100.04 · C 101.93
11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 101.45 · H 101.96 · L 100.09 · C 100.38
11/6/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 100.74 · H 101.92 · L 100.18 · C 101.77
11/7/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC

1Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 114.55
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC
3 related technical events · e-close_break-65-l-support-40-15, e-close_break-65-l-support-46-17, e-close_break-65-l-support-53-19
2Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 113.92
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC
3Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 113.84
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC
3 related technical events · e-acceptance-68-l-support-34-13, e-acceptance-68-l-support-40-15, e-acceptance-68-l-support-46-17
4Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 108.41
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC
5Re-entry after acceptance11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 109.01
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC
6Observed outcome after eight bars11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 105.62
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC

All verified events (51)

1Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 113.98
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 114.32 – 114.78 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.4933 · body 1.49 · wick ↑0.03 ↓0.07 · Review, risk and invalidation 114.78
2Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 113.98
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 113.99 – 114.43 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.4933 · body 1.49 · wick ↑0.03 ↓0.07 · Review, risk and invalidation 114.43
3Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 113.98
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 114.59 – 115.01 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.4933 · body 1.49 · wick ↑0.03 ↓0.07 · Review, risk and invalidation 115.01
4Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 114.33
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Resistance 113.67 – 114.17 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.61921 · body 0.26 · wick ↑0.53 ↓0.09 · Review, risk and invalidation 113.67
5Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 114.33
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 114.59 – 115.01
6Retest with a maintained close11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 114.33
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 114.59 – 115.01
7Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 113.01
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 113.67 – 114.17 · Review, risk and invalidation 113.67
8Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 113.01
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 113.59 – 114.09 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.40324 · body 0.23 · wick ↑0.17 ↓0.39 · Review, risk and invalidation 114.09
9Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 110.17
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 110.73 – 111.19 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.35528 · body 0.59 · wick ↑0.39 ↓0.51 · Review, risk and invalidation 111.19
10Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 110.17
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 111.86 – 112.32 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.35528 · body 0.59 · wick ↑0.39 ↓0.51 · Review, risk and invalidation 112.32
11Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 110.17
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 113.59 – 114.09
12Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 110.17
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 114.32 – 114.78
13Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 110.17
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 113.99 – 114.43
14Sweep: penetration and inside close11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.74
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41
15Close beyond the zone11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.74
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.83971 · body 0.47 · wick ↑0.45 ↓0.97 · Review, risk and invalidation 109.27
16Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.74
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 110.73 – 111.19
17Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.74
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 111.86 – 112.32
18Close beyond the zone11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 108.11
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.44751 · body 0.14 · wick ↑0.01 ↓0.11 · Review, risk and invalidation 108.41
19Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 108.11
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27
20Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 108.73
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41 · Review, risk and invalidation 108.41
21Retest with a maintained close11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 108.73
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27
22Re-entry after acceptance11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 110.54
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27 · Review, risk and invalidation 109.27
23Retest with a maintained close11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 110.54
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 110.73 – 111.19
24Observed outcome after eight bars11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 110.55
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 114.32 – 114.78 · Observed range 107.30 – 115.50
25Observed outcome after eight bars11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 110.55
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 113.99 – 114.43 · Observed range 107.30 – 115.50
26Observed outcome after eight bars11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 110.55
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 114.59 – 115.01 · Observed range 107.30 – 115.50
27Sweep: penetration and inside close11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 107.18
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87
28Close beyond the zone11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 107.18
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.07922 · body 1.53 · wick ↑1.14 ↓0.03 · Review, risk and invalidation 108.41
29Intrabar crossing without confirmation11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 107.18
The wick crossed the zone without an outside close. An intrabar crossing does not confirm a breakout.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 107.11 – 107.65
30Close beyond the zone11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 107.18
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.07922 · body 1.53 · wick ↑1.14 ↓0.03 · Review, risk and invalidation 109.27
31Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.28
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41
32Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.28
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27
33Observed outcome after eight bars11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 108.28
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 113.59 – 114.09 · Observed range 105.62 – 113.18
34Observed outcome after eight bars11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 108.04
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 110.73 – 111.19 · Observed range 105.62 – 111.27
35Observed outcome after eight bars11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 108.04
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 111.86 – 112.32 · Observed range 105.62 – 111.27
36Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 106.84
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.04684 · body 0.04 · wick ↑0.22 ↓0.56 · Review, risk and invalidation 106.87
37Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 106.84
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 107.11 – 107.65 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.04684 · body 0.04 · wick ↑0.22 ↓0.56 · Review, risk and invalidation 107.65
38Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 107.50
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87 · Review, risk and invalidation 106.87
39Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 105.97
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.35469 · body 0.62 · wick ↑0.00 ↓0.74 · Review, risk and invalidation 106.87
40Sweep: penetration and inside close11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 105.97
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 105.37 – 105.87
41Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 102.95
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87
42Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 102.95
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 107.11 – 107.65
43Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 102.95
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 105.37 – 105.87 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.03711 · body 1.32 · wick ↑0.91 ↓0.48 · Review, risk and invalidation 105.87
44Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 98.49
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 105.37 – 105.87
45Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 97.79
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41 – 108.41 · Observed range 97.69 – 108.37
46Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 97.79
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 108.75 – 109.27 · Observed range 97.69 – 108.37
47Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 97.00
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 97.43 – 98.03 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.54148 · body 0.27 · wick ↑0.36 ↓0.29 · Review, risk and invalidation 98.03
48Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 98.43
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 97.43 – 98.03 · Review, risk and invalidation 98.03
49Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 100.19
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 107.11 – 107.65 · Observed range 96.71 – 108.37
50Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 101.86
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 106.87 – 106.87 · Observed range 96.71 – 106.59
51Observed outcome after eight bars11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 102.63
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 105.37 – 105.87 · Observed range 96.71 – 105.18

Why these levels mattered

Support 4H114.32 – 114.78

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/26/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4

Tolerance ±0.23 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H107.11 – 107.65

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/20/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±0.27 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H114.59 – 115.01

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/28/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/29/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.21 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Resistance 4H113.67 – 114.17

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/22/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.25 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Support 4H108.41 – 108.41

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/19/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/19/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.00 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H113.99 – 114.43

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/27/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.22 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H110.73 – 111.19

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/22/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/23/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.23 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Support 4H108.75 – 109.27

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/21/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.26 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H106.87 – 106.87

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/16/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/19/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.00 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H97.43 – 98.03

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±0.30 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Support 4H105.37 – 105.87

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±0.25 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H113.59 – 114.09

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/23/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/26/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±0.25 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Multi-timeframe context before the focus

Only complete UTC buckets closed before the focus are included. D1 is omitted without a verified market calendar.

1D · Higher timeframe bars cannot be reconstructed with complete bars and a verified calendar (market_calendar_unverified)

Confirmed swings: HH 118.83 (10/31/26, 12:00 AM UTC) · LL 107.30 (11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC) · LH 111.27 (11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC) · LL 105.62 (11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LH 108.37 (11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC) · LL 96.71 (11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · LH 104.19 (11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · HL 100.04 (11/7/26, 12:00 AM UTC)

News and economic calendar

No timed economic event is linked to these candles; editorial news remains context, not a proven cause

Review, risk and invalidation

Context first, then confirmation, then risk. An opposite close through the zone weakens the interpretation. Do not chase speed: rising volatility calls for a size review and does not guarantee continuation.

Sources and methodology

Wilder ATR 14; sample standard deviation of 14 log returns, unannualized; expansion TR / average of the preceding 14 TRs. DVI averages three percentile ranks against the last 252 preceding observations (minimum 40). Five bands are score quintiles, not empirical risk thresholds. Causal calculation; no future candles.

Observed discontinuities may be market closures or missing bars. They are not filled. ATR and returns include gaps between observations. (3)

Actual feed: mt5_node_b · BRENTCash# · provider_unspecified
UTC / cutoff: 2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z → 2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z
SHA-256 / Observed data: 890dc1d838cfe1e4edcc6d2a03b6084bfd9202e9b11a7047d3a7fd6bacfb4d5e
Engine / rules: 2.0.0 / mb-price-action-2.0.0 · 94 OHLC

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

Brent crude oil H4 — open: 116.16; close: 101.77; high: 116.78; low: 96.71. The week closed below the open.

DISTINGUISH

H4 structure rejected 116.78 and then moved toward 96.71; the final recovery to 101.77 did not erase the observed pressure.

REVIEW

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 116.78; invalidated by 1 close below 116.78. Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 96.71; invalidated by 1 close above 96.71. Consolidation: closes between 96.71 and 116.78; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Analysis data

Analysis data94 OHLC

Previous context high118.83

Previous context low106.87

Analysis focus30 candles

Structure of the move

13Close beyond the zoneBreakout
14Failed break: close past the inner boundaryBreakout
15Acceptance: two consecutive closesBreakout
16Failed break: close past the inner boundaryBreakout
17Re-entry after acceptanceRetest
18Observed outcome after eight barsBreakout

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 116.78; invalidated by 1 close below 116.78.

Reading the chart

Tap an annotation to read its context

1
Level
Support 4H · 114.55
10/27/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 114.32 → 114.78
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.23 · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
2
Level
Support 4H · 107.38
10/21/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 107.11 → 107.65
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.27 · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
3
Level
Support 4H · 114.80
10/29/26, 8:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 114.59 → 115.01
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±0.21 · Knowable at candle close 10/29/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
4
Level
Resistance 4H · 113.92
10/22/26, 8:00 PM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 113.67 → 114.17
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±0.25 · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
5
Level
Support 4H · 108.41
10/19/26, 8:00 PM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 108.41 → 108.41
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±0.00 · Knowable at candle close 10/19/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
6
Level
Support 4H · 114.21
10/28/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 113.99 → 114.43
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.22 · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
7
Level
Support 4H · 110.96
10/23/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 110.73 → 111.19
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.23 · Knowable at candle close 10/23/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
8
Level
Support 4H · 109.01
10/22/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 108.75 → 109.27
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.26 · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
9
Level
Support 4H · 106.87
10/19/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 106.87 → 106.87
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.00 · Knowable at candle close 10/19/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
10
Level
Support 4H · 97.73
11/5/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 97.43 → 98.03
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.30 · Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
11
Level
Support 4H · 105.62
11/4/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 105.37 → 105.87
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.25 · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
12
Level
Support 4H · 113.84
10/26/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 113.59 → 114.09
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.25 · Knowable at candle close 10/26/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
13
Breakout
Close beyond the zone
11/2/26, 4:00 AM · 113.98
Close beyond the zone · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 114.55
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
14
Breakout
Failed break: close past the inner boundary
11/2/26, 12:00 PM · 113.01
Failed break: close past the inner boundary · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 113.92
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
15
Breakout
Acceptance: two consecutive closes
11/2/26, 4:00 PM · 110.17
Acceptance: two consecutive closes · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 113.84
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
16
Breakout
Failed break: close past the inner boundary
11/3/26, 4:00 AM · 108.73
Failed break: close past the inner boundary · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 108.41
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
17
Retest
Re-entry after acceptance
11/3/26, 8:00 AM · 110.54
Re-entry after acceptance · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 109.01
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
18
Breakout
Observed outcome after eight bars
11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 102.63
Observed outcome after eight bars · Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Support 105.62
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
19
Level
LL · 107.30
11/2/26, 8:00 PM · 107.30
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
20
Level
LH · 111.27
11/3/26, 8:00 AM · 111.27
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
21
Level
LL · 105.62
11/3/26, 4:00 PM · 105.62
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
22
Level
LH · 108.37
11/4/26, 8:00 AM · 108.37
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
23
Level
LL · 96.71
11/5/26, 4:00 AM · 96.71
Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
24
Level
LH · 104.19
11/6/26, 4:00 AM · 104.19
Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Price reference · 4

25
Price reference
Previous context high
118.83
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
26
Price reference
Previous context low
106.87
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
27
Price reference
Focus high
11/2/26, 12:00 AM · 116.78
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
28
Price reference
Focus low
11/5/26, 4:00 AM · 96.71
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Context and catalyst

01What happened

Brent crude oil H4 — open: 116.16; close: 101.77; high: 116.78; low: 96.71. The week closed below the open.

02The move

Across 30 H4 candles, price covered the 96.71–116.78 range and ended at 101.77: wide volatility with a bearish final balance.

03Before the move

The focus uses 30 H4 bars between November 2 and 7, 2026. Election timing defines the period but does not prove one cause.

05Price structure

H4 structure rejected 116.78 and then moved toward 96.71; the final recovery to 101.77 did not erase the observed pressure.

06Liquidity

The 116.78 and 96.71 areas are verified extremes. The 30 OHLC candles cannot establish actual stops or institutional orders.

07Session and timing

The 30 H4 bars are ordered in UTC; the final included bar closed before November 7, 2026 and contains no floating candle.

10What this move teaches us

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 116.78; invalidated by 1 close below 116.78.

Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 96.71; invalidated by 1 close above 96.71.

Consolidation: closes between 96.71 and 116.78; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Snapshot OHLC data

UTC	O	H	L	C
2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z	107.29	107.58	106.87	107.15
2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z	107.16	108.74	106.96	107.85
2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z	107.86	111.77	107.16	111.27
2026-10-16T20:00:00.000Z	111.25	112.02	110.76	111.66
2026-10-19T00:00:00.000Z	111.41	111.41	109.49	109.55
2026-10-19T04:00:00.000Z	109.54	110.27	109.31	109.43
2026-10-19T08:00:00.000Z	109.43	109.69	108.41	109.65
2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z	109.64	110.6	109.28	109.85
2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z	109.82	111.46	109.18	111.4
2026-10-19T20:00:00.000Z	111.37	112.34	110.72	110.84
2026-10-20T00:00:00.000Z	110.83	111.04	110.49	111
2026-10-20T04:00:00.000Z	110.99	111.63	110.82	111.41
2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z	111.41	112.83	110.88	112.69
2026-10-20T12:00:00.000Z	112.7	113.5	111.25	111.99
2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z	112.01	112.37	107.38	110.49
2026-10-20T20:00:00.000Z	110.48	110.83	109.85	110.56
2026-10-21T00:00:00.000Z	110.55	111	110.22	110.87
2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z	110.89	112.11	110.88	111.47
2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z	111.46	112.03	110.76	111.82
2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z	111.81	112.69	109.44	109.57
2026-10-21T16:00:00.000Z	109.59	110.77	109.01	109.7
2026-10-21T20:00:00.000Z	109.69	111.86	109.52	111.08
2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z	111.07	111.39	110.96	111.32
2026-10-22T04:00:00.000Z	111.33	112.19	111.14	112.17
2026-10-22T08:00:00.000Z	112.2	113.92	112.16	113.79
2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z	113.78	113.86	112.72	113.35
2026-10-22T16:00:00.000Z	113.34	113.78	112.09	113.45
2026-10-22T20:00:00.000Z	113.44	114.75	113.4	114.13
2026-10-23T00:00:00.000Z	114.14	114.31	113.84	114.02
2026-10-23T04:00:00.000Z	114.03	115.83	114.03	115.06
2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z	115.08	115.78	114.43	114.75
2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z	114.76	116.28	114.69	115.93
2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z	115.92	118.37	115.67	117.42
2026-10-23T20:00:00.000Z	117.37	118.07	116.95	117.63
2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z	116.12	116.36	115.41	116.02
2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z	115.26	115.37	114.55	114.93
2026-10-26T08:00:00.000Z	114.85	115.91	114.78	115.58
2026-10-26T12:00:00.000Z	115.33	115.62	114.86	115.38
2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z	116.32	117.46	114.81	117.44
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z	116.33	116.75	115.64	115.84
2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z	115.6	115.66	115.37	115.37
2026-10-27T04:00:00.000Z	114.9	115.21	114.72	115
2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z	115.12	116.64	115.11	116.53
2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z	116.08	116.8	114.7	115.24
2026-10-27T16:00:00.000Z	115.96	116.27	114.21	114.69
2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z	114.71	115.26	114.25	115.12
2026-10-28T00:00:00.000Z	114.7	114.81	114.65	114.8
2026-10-28T04:00:00.000Z	116.31	116.52	115.73	115.94
2026-10-28T08:00:00.000Z	116.05	116.9	116.01	116.17
2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z	115.66	116.58	115.59	116.5
2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z	116.37	117.77	116.25	117.7
2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z	116.76	117.28	114.8	115.12
2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z	115.41	115.64	115.35	115.59
2026-10-29T04:00:00.000Z	115.48	115.58	115.02	115.22
2026-10-29T08:00:00.000Z	115.04	115.93	114.9	115.41
2026-10-29T12:00:00.000Z	115.23	115.67	114.72	115.46
2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z	114.74	115.61	114.21	114.74
2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z	115.52	116.62	115.38	116.55
2026-10-30T00:00:00.000Z	116.27	116.45	116.26	116.43
2026-10-30T04:00:00.000Z	118.21	118.51	116.84	116.93
2026-10-30T08:00:00.000Z	117.05	118.06	116.17	117.82
2026-10-30T12:00:00.000Z	117.93	118.83	117.71	118.17
2026-10-30T16:00:00.000Z	118.39	118.76	117.63	118.6
2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z	118.38	118.55	117.02	117.14
2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z	116.16	116.78	115.76	115.96
2026-11-02T04:00:00.000Z	115.47	115.5	113.91	113.98
2026-11-02T08:00:00.000Z	114.07	114.86	113.98	114.33
2026-11-02T12:00:00.000Z	112.78	113.18	112.39	113.01
2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z	110.76	111.15	109.66	110.17
2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z	108.27	109.19	107.3	108.74
2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z	108.25	108.26	108	108.11
2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z	108.67	109.11	108.18	108.73
2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z	109.75	111.27	109.66	110.54
2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z	109.55	110.63	109.24	110.55
2026-11-03T16:00:00.000Z	105.65	108.32	105.62	107.18
2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z	107.45	108.3	107.2	108.28
2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z	108.26	108.26	107.98	108.04
2026-11-04T04:00:00.000Z	106.88	107.1	106.28	106.84
2026-11-04T08:00:00.000Z	107.5	108.37	107.36	107.5
2026-11-04T12:00:00.000Z	106.59	106.59	105.23	105.97
2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z	104.27	105.18	102.47	102.95
2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z	97.98	99.3	97.73	98.49
2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z	97.99	98	97.69	97.79
2026-11-05T04:00:00.000Z	97.27	97.63	96.71	97
2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z	97.55	98.6	97.14	98.43
2026-11-05T12:00:00.000Z	99.28	100.19	99.22	100.19
2026-11-05T16:00:00.000Z	100.02	101.27	99.9	100.38
2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z	100.73	102.15	100.64	101.86
2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z	102.58	102.82	102.45	102.63
2026-11-06T04:00:00.000Z	102.71	104.19	102.7	103.36
2026-11-06T08:00:00.000Z	103.28	103.62	102.09	102.12
2026-11-06T12:00:00.000Z	100.04	102.18	100.04	101.93
2026-11-06T16:00:00.000Z	101.45	101.96	100.09	100.38
2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z	100.74	101.92	100.18	101.77

Sources and methodologymt5_node_b · BRENTCash#

mt5_node_b · BRENTCash# · 94 OHLC · focus 302026-11-07T19:04:27.946Z · UTC

Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

YMYL / TRUST

Editorial responsibility

Disciply Editorial ↗

Data captured: 2026-11-07T19:04:27.946Z
Data source: mt5_node_b · BRENTCash#

Observed data

Prices, OHLC, timeframe and derived levels come from the frozen historical snapshot shown on this page.

Editorial interpretation

The text separates observed data from Disciply technical interpretation and described scenarios.

What we cannot infer

The snapshot does not establish future market direction, guarantee trading outcomes, or make provider volume equivalent to centralized traded volume.

Editorial responsibility · Disciply

Brent crude oil H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

Reconstructing the move from data

The move in 30 seconds

Before the move

Peak DVI

What happened next

The move on the chart

Why these levels mattered

News and economic calendar

Review, risk and invalidation

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

DISTINGUISH

REVIEW

Analysis data

Structure of the move

Key levels

Reading the chart

Support 4H · 114.55

Support 4H · 107.38

Support 4H · 114.80

Resistance 4H · 113.92

Support 4H · 108.41

Support 4H · 114.21

Support 4H · 110.96

Support 4H · 109.01

Support 4H · 106.87

Support 4H · 97.73

Support 4H · 105.62

Support 4H · 113.84

Close beyond the zone

Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Re-entry after acceptance

Observed outcome after eight bars

LL · 107.30

LH · 111.27

LL · 105.62

LH · 108.37

LL · 96.71

LH · 104.19

Previous context high

Previous context low

Focus high

Focus low

Context and catalyst

01What happened

02The move

03Before the move

05Price structure

06Liquidity

07Session and timing

10What this move teaches us

Editorial responsibility

Observed data

Editorial interpretation

What we cannot infer