XPDUSDCommodities

Oct 1, 2026, 7:30 AM

Europe/RomeLondon → New York

Palladium: previous low breaks and a second expansion reaches 1166.5

Palladium developed an intraday range of about 5.06%, from 1225.5 to 1166.5. The M15 structure shows a break of the prior low, failed re-acceptance on the retest and renewed expansion during New York.

XPDUSD15m · Oct 1, 2026London → New YorkBreakout

Tap an annotation to read its context

Last snapshot price1,182.50

-47.00 · -3.84%

Focus change

Focus high1,225.50Focus low1,166.50

Focus volume4,781Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

Focus duration570 min38 candles · 15m

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

The higher-timeframe context already showed relative weakness versus the prior session, but today's move increased both amplitude and speed. On the fifteen-minute chart the structure shifts from testing the upper area to a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. On the hourly view the move reads as intraday bearish expansion without implying a forecast for the next session.

DISTINGUISH

The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.

REVIEW

The educational value lies in the sequence rather than the decline alone. A break of an important reference becomes more informative when price remains accepted below it, the retest fails to recover the old area and participation expands during the second leg. The retrospective read weakens if the retest is ignored or the entire move is attributed to one headline.

yahoo_finance · PA=F · 192 OHLC · focus 382026-10-01T16:19:26.498Z · Europe/Rome

Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

YMYL / TRUST

Editorial responsibility

Disciply Editorial ↗

Data captured: 2026-10-01T16:19:26.498Z
Data source: yahoo_finance · PA=F

Observed data

Prices, OHLC, timeframe and derived levels come from the frozen historical snapshot shown on this page.

Editorial interpretation

The text separates observed data from Disciply technical interpretation and described scenarios.

What we cannot infer

The snapshot does not establish future market direction, guarantee trading outcomes, or make provider volume equivalent to centralized traded volume.

Editorial responsibility · Disciply

Analysis data

Analysis data192 OHLC

Previous context high1,240.5

Previous context low1,198.5

Analysis focus38 candles

Key levels

1,208.00Previous Day Low
1,240.50Previous context high
1,198.50Previous context low
1,225.50Focus high
1,166.50Focus low
1,182.50Last snapshot price

Reading the chart

Tap an annotation to read its context

1
Level
Previous Day Low
1,208.00
The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
2
Level
Morning high
10/1/26, 8:00 AM · 1,225.50
The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
3
Level
Break below prior low
10/1/26, 8:45 AM · 1,206.50
The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
4
Retest
Retest and failed re-acceptance
10/1/26, 1:30 PM → 10/1/26, 2:45 PM · 1,188.50 → 1,209.00
The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
5
Expansion
Second expansion
10/1/26, 3:30 PM → 10/1/26, 4:15 PM · 1,192.00 → 1,174.00
The first decline turned an initial pullback from the high into a genuine directional transition. The decisive element was the market's ability to remain below the prior-session reference. The later recovery brought price back toward the old area but failed to establish lasting acceptance; renewed acceleration then widened the range and pushed the market toward a fresh intraday extreme.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
6
Level
Intraday low
10/1/26, 4:15 PM · 1,166.50
The structure shows three readable phases: formation of the morning high, break of the prior low and a subsequent recovery attempt. The retest fails to restore a balanced structure above the broken level. When pressure increases again during the US phase, price produces a second expansion leg and a new intraday low.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Price reference · 4

7
Price reference
Previous context high
1,240.50
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
8
Price reference
Previous context low
1,198.50
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
9
Price reference
Focus high
10/1/26, 8:00 AM · 1,225.50
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
10
Price reference
Focus low
10/1/26, 4:15 PM · 1,166.50
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Context and catalyst

01What happened

Palladium formed a morning high during the European session and then began a progressive decline. Selling pressure pushed through the prior session low and the market continued trading below that reference. After an intermediate recovery, price failed to rebuild acceptance above the broken area and developed a second expansion during the US phase.

02The move

The first decline turned an initial pullback from the high into a genuine directional transition. The decisive element was the market's ability to remain below the prior-session reference. The later recovery brought price back toward the old area but failed to establish lasting acceptance; renewed acceleration then widened the range and pushed the market toward a fresh intraday extreme.

03Before the move

04News / catalyst

The contemporary precious-metals backdrop was dominated by a firm dollar and elevated US yields. Reuters reported weak Palladium performance while gold and other metals showed more contained reactions. This macro backdrop helps contextualize the decline but does not establish a single causal explanation.

05Price structure

06Liquidity

The prior-session low was the clearest external liquidity reference in the focus. Its violation was not followed by an immediate and persistent reclaim, so the observed behavior is more consistent with acceptance below the level than with a simple sweep. The later recovery tested the area again without rebuilding value above it.

07Session and timing

The first part of the decline develops during the European morning, while the second acceleration emerges into New York and the US phase. Timing is not treated as an automatic cause, but it matters because the increase in speed and participation coincides with a more liquid phase for US futures.

08Volume / volatility

The Disciply feed uses Yahoo Finance on Palladium futures. Provider volume expands during the directional phases and reaches its focus peak on the candle that records the new intraday low. This supports the interpretation of stronger participation, while remaining provider-specific rather than total global Palladium-market volume.

09The Disciply perspective

The macro backdrop featured elevated US yields and a firm dollar, conditions that can pressure dollar-denominated metals. Reuters reported Palladium lower on the same day while markets awaited fresh US labor data. These elements are compatible with the observed move, but the explanation remains probabilistic and secondary to actual price behavior.

10What this move teaches us

Snapshot OHLC data

UTC	O	H	L	C	V
2026-09-29T13:30:00.000Z	1216.5	1219	1213	1216.5	295
2026-09-29T13:45:00.000Z	1215.5	1222.5	1215	1217.5	197
2026-09-29T14:00:00.000Z	1218	1221.5	1216	1218.5	168
2026-09-29T14:15:00.000Z	1219	1222	1217.5	1219.5	167
2026-09-29T14:30:00.000Z	1218.5	1220	1215	1217.5	183
2026-09-29T14:45:00.000Z	1217.5	1220	1216.5	1219	160
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	1219.5	1219.5	1212.5	1213	138
2026-09-29T15:15:00.000Z	1213	1215.5	1211.5	1213.5	199
2026-09-29T15:30:00.000Z	1213.5	1217	1213.5	1216	102
2026-09-29T15:45:00.000Z	1216	1219.5	1215	1215	92
2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z	1215.5	1216	1213	1213.5	83
2026-09-29T16:15:00.000Z	1214	1215	1213.5	1215	87
2026-09-29T16:30:00.000Z	1215	1217.5	1214.5	1215	96
2026-09-29T16:45:00.000Z	1215	1217.5	1213	1214	225
2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z	1214.5	1216	1212.5	1215	43
2026-09-29T17:15:00.000Z	1216.5	1217	1216	1216.5	16
2026-09-29T17:30:00.000Z	1216	1217.5	1216	1217	26
2026-09-29T17:45:00.000Z	1217.5	1217.5	1215	1215.5	22
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	1216	1225.5	1216	1225.5	117
2026-09-29T18:15:00.000Z	1225	1227	1224	1226.5	67
2026-09-29T18:30:00.000Z	1226.5	1234	1226	1231	83
2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z	1230.5	1231	1228.5	1231	21
2026-09-29T19:00:00.000Z	1231	1231	1230	1230	33
2026-09-29T19:15:00.000Z	1229.5	1230.5	1229	1229	14
2026-09-29T19:30:00.000Z	1230.5	1230.5	1229.5	1229.5	3
2026-09-29T19:45:00.000Z	1228.5	1230.5	1228	1230	30
2026-09-29T20:00:00.000Z	1230.5	1230.5	1229.5	1229.5	10
2026-09-29T20:15:00.000Z	1229.5	1230	1229	1230	10
2026-09-29T20:30:00.000Z	1230	1233	1230	1233	18
2026-09-29T20:45:00.000Z	1232.5	1232.5	1231	1231.5	15
2026-09-29T22:00:00.000Z	1230	1232.5	1230	1232.5	9
2026-09-29T22:15:00.000Z	1233	1235	1233	1234	7
2026-09-29T22:30:00.000Z	1233.5	1233.5	1232.5	1232.5	2
2026-09-29T22:45:00.000Z	1233	1233	1233	1233	2
2026-09-29T23:00:00.000Z	1232.5	1235	1231.5	1234	28
2026-09-29T23:15:00.000Z	1234	1235	1234	1234	7
2026-09-29T23:45:00.000Z	1234.5	1235.5	1234.5	1235.5	16
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	1235	1237	1235	1236.5	21
2026-09-30T00:15:00.000Z	1237	1237	1235	1235	6
2026-09-30T00:30:00.000Z	1236	1236	1234	1234.5	25
2026-09-30T00:45:00.000Z	1234	1234.5	1233	1233.5	10
2026-09-30T01:00:00.000Z	1233	1233	1229	1232.5	89
2026-09-30T01:15:00.000Z	1232	1232.5	1228.5	1229.5	36
2026-09-30T01:30:00.000Z	1229	1230.5	1225.5	1225.5	38
2026-09-30T01:45:00.000Z	1225.5	1226.5	1225	1225	36
2026-09-30T02:00:00.000Z	1227	1228	1227	1227.5	19
2026-09-30T02:15:00.000Z	1227.5	1229	1226.5	1228.5	22
2026-09-30T02:30:00.000Z	1228	1229	1226.5	1229	14
2026-09-30T02:45:00.000Z	1230	1231.5	1229.5	1229.5	28
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	1230.5	1232	1230	1230.5	13
2026-09-30T03:15:00.000Z	1229.5	1229.5	1229.5	1229.5	1
2026-09-30T03:30:00.000Z	1230.5	1231	1230	1231	3
2026-09-30T03:45:00.000Z	1229.5	1229.5	1229	1229	4
2026-09-30T04:00:00.000Z	1229	1229	1228	1228.5	4
2026-09-30T04:15:00.000Z	1228.5	1229	1228.5	1229	2
2026-09-30T04:30:00.000Z	1228	1230	1228	1230	5
2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z	1228.5	1229.5	1228	1228	6
2026-09-30T05:15:00.000Z	1225.5	1228	1225.5	1228	18
2026-09-30T05:30:00.000Z	1227.5	1231	1227.5	1230	20
2026-09-30T05:45:00.000Z	1228.5	1230	1227.5	1229	11
2026-09-30T06:00:00.000Z	1229.5	1232	1229.5	1231	55
2026-09-30T06:15:00.000Z	1230.5	1231	1228.5	1229	41
2026-09-30T06:30:00.000Z	1229.5	1231	1228	1228	37
2026-09-30T06:45:00.000Z	1228.5	1233	1228	1232	66
2026-09-30T07:00:00.000Z	1231.5	1238	1231.5	1238	79
2026-09-30T07:15:00.000Z	1237.5	1242	1237.5	1239	91
2026-09-30T07:30:00.000Z	1239	1245	1239	1242.5	121
2026-09-30T07:45:00.000Z	1243	1245	1240	1240	58
2026-09-30T08:00:00.000Z	1240	1240.5	1234.5	1236.5	74
2026-09-30T08:15:00.000Z	1236.5	1240.5	1236	1240.5	29
2026-09-30T08:30:00.000Z	1239.5	1239.5	1238	1238.5	32
2026-09-30T08:45:00.000Z	1239	1239	1233.5	1233.5	31
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	1233	1234.5	1229	1229.5	77
2026-09-30T09:15:00.000Z	1230	1230	1227	1229	22
2026-09-30T09:30:00.000Z	1229.5	1230.5	1227	1227	17
2026-09-30T09:45:00.000Z	1227	1227	1226	1226.5	5
2026-09-30T10:00:00.000Z	1226	1228	1224.5	1224.5	20
2026-09-30T10:15:00.000Z	1226	1228	1225	1227	26
2026-09-30T10:30:00.000Z	1226	1227.5	1226	1227	7
2026-09-30T10:45:00.000Z	1227.5	1228	1225.5	1225.5	17
2026-09-30T11:00:00.000Z	1224	1224.5	1223	1223.5	18
2026-09-30T11:15:00.000Z	1224	1226	1222	1225.5	16
2026-09-30T11:30:00.000Z	1226	1226.5	1223.5	1223.5	27
2026-09-30T11:45:00.000Z	1224.5	1225	1221	1221	42
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	1223.5	1224.5	1221.5	1223	39
2026-09-30T12:15:00.000Z	1222.5	1223	1217.5	1221.5	67
2026-09-30T12:30:00.000Z	1221.5	1235	1221.5	1231.5	427
2026-09-30T12:45:00.000Z	1230.5	1231	1225	1226	150
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z	1225.5	1229.5	1221	1221	204
2026-09-30T13:15:00.000Z	1221.5	1223.5	1219	1222.5	99
2026-09-30T13:30:00.000Z	1222	1223	1218	1218.5	88
2026-09-30T13:45:00.000Z	1219	1219.5	1213	1214	175
2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z	1214.5	1219.5	1212.5	1217.5	112
2026-09-30T14:15:00.000Z	1217.5	1219	1214	1214	46
2026-09-30T14:30:00.000Z	1215	1216	1210	1216	220
2026-09-30T14:45:00.000Z	1215.5	1216.5	1210	1210	84
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	1210.5	1213	1209.5	1212	141
2026-09-30T15:15:00.000Z	1212.5	1213.5	1208	1211.5	131
2026-09-30T15:30:00.000Z	1212	1214	1211	1211	74
2026-09-30T15:45:00.000Z	1210.5	1211.5	1208.5	1209.5	81
2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z	1210.5	1212.5	1209.5	1211	65
2026-09-30T16:15:00.000Z	1211	1211.5	1209.5	1210.5	61
2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z	1210	1212	1210	1212	74
2026-09-30T16:45:00.000Z	1211.5	1213.5	1209.5	1213	274
2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z	1212.5	1213.5	1210	1210.5	61
2026-09-30T17:15:00.000Z	1210	1211.5	1209.5	1211.5	41
2026-09-30T17:30:00.000Z	1211	1212	1210.5	1211.5	17
2026-09-30T17:45:00.000Z	1212	1212	1211	1211.5	7
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	1211	1211	1211	1211	3
2026-09-30T18:15:00.000Z	1210.5	1212	1210	1212	9
2026-09-30T18:30:00.000Z	1212	1213	1211	1212	14
2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z	1212.5	1213	1212	1213	14
2026-09-30T19:00:00.000Z	1213.5	1214.5	1213	1214.5	16
2026-09-30T19:15:00.000Z	1213.5	1214.5	1213.5	1214.5	3
2026-09-30T19:30:00.000Z	1214	1214	1213	1213	5
2026-09-30T19:45:00.000Z	1213	1214	1211	1211.5	28
2026-09-30T20:00:00.000Z	1211.5	1212.5	1211	1212.5	11
2026-09-30T20:15:00.000Z	1213	1214	1212.5	1214	4
2026-09-30T20:30:00.000Z	1212.5	1213.5	1212.5	1213.5	5
2026-09-30T20:45:00.000Z	1213	1216	1212.5	1213	87
2026-09-30T22:00:00.000Z	1213	1215	1212.5	1213.5	6
2026-09-30T22:30:00.000Z	1212.5	1214	1212.5	1213.5	19
2026-09-30T22:45:00.000Z	1212.5	1212.5	1212.5	1212.5	3
2026-09-30T23:00:00.000Z	1212.5	1212.5	1211.5	1211.5	3
2026-09-30T23:15:00.000Z	1212.5	1212.5	1210	1210.5	22
2026-09-30T23:30:00.000Z	1210.5	1211	1210	1211	19
2026-09-30T23:45:00.000Z	1211	1211.5	1211	1211.5	18
2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z	1210.5	1210.5	1209.5	1209.5	9
2026-10-01T00:15:00.000Z	1208.5	1208.5	1205	1205	87
2026-10-01T00:30:00.000Z	1205	1205.5	1204	1205	31
2026-10-01T00:45:00.000Z	1204	1205	1198.5	1204.5	127
2026-10-01T01:00:00.000Z	1205	1209.5	1205	1209	28
2026-10-01T01:15:00.000Z	1209	1211.5	1209	1211.5	15
2026-10-01T01:30:00.000Z	1211	1212	1210	1211	27
2026-10-01T01:45:00.000Z	1211	1211.5	1209	1209	6
2026-10-01T02:00:00.000Z	1209	1209	1207	1207	8
2026-10-01T02:15:00.000Z	1207	1208.5	1207	1208	22
2026-10-01T02:30:00.000Z	1207.5	1208	1207.5	1208	4
2026-10-01T02:45:00.000Z	1207	1207.5	1206.5	1207.5	10
2026-10-01T03:00:00.000Z	1208	1211	1208	1211	34
2026-10-01T03:15:00.000Z	1211	1211	1211	1211	15
2026-10-01T03:30:00.000Z	1210	1211	1209	1211	4
2026-10-01T03:45:00.000Z	1213	1214	1213	1214	9
2026-10-01T04:00:00.000Z	1213	1214.5	1213	1214	9
2026-10-01T04:15:00.000Z	1214	1214	1214	1214	2
2026-10-01T04:30:00.000Z	1214.5	1216	1214.5	1216	31
2026-10-01T04:45:00.000Z	1216.5	1220	1215.5	1219.5	41
2026-10-01T05:00:00.000Z	1220	1222	1219.5	1221	38
2026-10-01T05:15:00.000Z	1221.5	1223.5	1221.5	1223.5	5
2026-10-01T05:30:00.000Z	1223.5	1225	1222.5	1223	26
2026-10-01T05:45:00.000Z	1222.5	1222.5	1222	1222.5	18
2026-10-01T06:00:00.000Z	1223.5	1225.5	1223	1223.5	42
2026-10-01T06:15:00.000Z	1223	1223	1216.5	1216.5	45
2026-10-01T06:30:00.000Z	1216.5	1216.5	1209.5	1210	54
2026-10-01T06:45:00.000Z	1210	1210	1206	1206.5	36
2026-10-01T07:00:00.000Z	1206.5	1208.5	1203	1203.5	110
2026-10-01T07:15:00.000Z	1203	1204.5	1191.5	1194	181
2026-10-01T07:30:00.000Z	1194	1195.5	1189.5	1192	165
2026-10-01T07:45:00.000Z	1192	1197	1190.5	1195.5	78
2026-10-01T08:00:00.000Z	1193.5	1197	1190	1191	85
2026-10-01T08:15:00.000Z	1191.5	1192.5	1185.5	1188	131
2026-10-01T08:30:00.000Z	1186.5	1191.5	1185.5	1190.5	54
2026-10-01T08:45:00.000Z	1190	1190	1182.5	1184	66
2026-10-01T09:00:00.000Z	1184.5	1189	1184.5	1188.5	46
2026-10-01T09:15:00.000Z	1188	1191.5	1188	1190	81
2026-10-01T09:30:00.000Z	1191	1192	1189.5	1189.5	23
2026-10-01T09:45:00.000Z	1189	1191.5	1187	1187	29
2026-10-01T10:00:00.000Z	1186.5	1187.5	1183	1187	95
2026-10-01T10:15:00.000Z	1188	1191.5	1185.5	1189.5	91
2026-10-01T10:30:00.000Z	1190	1195	1189.5	1193	86
2026-10-01T10:45:00.000Z	1192.5	1194	1190.5	1193.5	83
2026-10-01T11:00:00.000Z	1194.5	1195	1189.5	1190	63
2026-10-01T11:15:00.000Z	1190	1190	1188.5	1188.5	38
2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z	1189	1199.5	1189	1198	114
2026-10-01T11:45:00.000Z	1197.5	1202	1197.5	1200.5	75
2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z	1202	1208.5	1202	1204.5	186
2026-10-01T12:15:00.000Z	1205.5	1207.5	1203.5	1205.5	64
2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z	1204.5	1209	1203	1205	142
2026-10-01T12:45:00.000Z	1205.5	1206	1198	1198.5	126
2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z	1198	1199	1193.5	1194.5	153
2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z	1194	1196	1192	1192	145
2026-10-01T13:30:00.000Z	1192	1193.5	1182	1183.5	360
2026-10-01T13:45:00.000Z	1184	1188	1183.5	1186.5	187
2026-10-01T14:00:00.000Z	1187.5	1187.5	1176.5	1178	398
2026-10-01T14:15:00.000Z	1178	1178.5	1166.5	1174	610
2026-10-01T14:30:00.000Z	1173.5	1187.5	1173.5	1183	366
2026-10-01T14:45:00.000Z	1183	1184	1174.5	1176.5	129
2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z	1177.5	1180.5	1175.5	1179.5	137
2026-10-01T15:15:00.000Z	1178.5	1184.5	1178.5	1182.5	80
2026-10-01T15:30:00.000Z	1182	1182.5	1176.5	1178.5	100
2026-10-01T15:45:00.000Z	1179.5	1184	1179	1181.5	128
2026-10-01T16:00:00.000Z	1182	1183.5	1180.5	1182.5	58

Palladium: previous low breaks and a second expansion reaches 1166.5

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

DISTINGUISH

REVIEW

Editorial responsibility

Observed data

Editorial interpretation

What we cannot infer

Analysis data

Structure of the move

Key levels

Reading the chart

Previous Day Low

Morning high

Break below prior low

Retest and failed re-acceptance

Second expansion

Intraday low

Previous context high

Previous context low

Focus high

Focus low

Context and catalyst

01What happened

02The move

03Before the move

04News / catalyst

05Price structure

06Liquidity

07Session and timing

08Volume / volatility

09The Disciply perspective

10What this move teaches us