XAUUSDCommodities

Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

UTCGlobal UTC

XAUUSD H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

H4 Market Breakdown of XAUUSD spot: move, structure and observed levels during US election week.

XAUUSD4H · Nov 2, 2026Global UTCVolatilità

Tap an annotation to read its context

Focus close4,044.96

146.57 · 3.76%

Focus change

Focus high4,146.89Focus low3,892.84

Focus volume0Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

Focus duration6,000 min25 candles · 4H

DISCIPLY INTELLIGENCE 3.0

Reconstructing the move from data

Quantitative analysis available

The move in 30 seconds

XAUUSD / 4H · 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC → 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC

Change 3.76% · Observed range 3,892.84 – 4,146.89 · 25 OHLC

Move Price closed the focus above its opening: 3,898.39 → 4,044.96 (+146.57; 3.76%).

Before Before the focus, available candles ranged between 3,870.21 – 4,082.79.

Confirmations The focus high exceeded the previous high. Two closes beyond a zone confirmed at least one observed break (3,969.98; 12:00 PM UTC).

Weaknesses A break later closed back inside its zone. After the high, the focus gave back part of its advance: 4,146.89 → 4,044.96.

Lesson The lesson is to separate the first crossing from confirmation and review what followed.

A level is a zone where price reacted. A wick beyond the zone is not a confirmed close. Confirmation becomes knowable only after subsequent candles.

Before the move

ATR 30.13678 · NATR 0.77305% · RV 0.56637%Fewer than 40 comparable preceding observations are available for the scoreRange contraction · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 0.5657911/1/26, 8:00 PM UTC · n=16

Peak DVI

ATR 39.98585 · NATR 0.98854% · RV 0.96147%94.3/100ExtremeRange expansion · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 1.65005Historical percentiles NATR 100 · RV 100 · TR 82.9268311/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · n=41

What happened next

There are no completed candles after the focus

Relative measures for the same feed and timeframe. DVI is not VIX and does not directly compare different assets. Provider volume is not necessarily centralized. Broker calendars, rolls and splits are unverified: no conversion into CFD prices.

The move on the chart

Move timeline · 25 OHLC

11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 3,898.39 · H 3,914.74 · L 3,892.84 · C 3,902.41
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 3,902.31 · H 3,919.19 · L 3,897.00 · C 3,903.33
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 3,898.08 · H 3,898.81 · L 3,897.20 · C 3,898.16
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 3,901.45 · H 3,966.23 · L 3,896.24 · C 3,957.92
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 3,958.05 · H 3,969.98 · L 3,938.87 · C 3,945.94
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 3,945.82 · H 3,950.79 · L 3,937.44 · C 3,948.14
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 3,947.84 · H 3,964.52 · L 3,924.50 · C 3,926.35
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 3,926.16 · H 3,931.29 · L 3,906.60 · C 3,906.60
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 3,906.67 · H 3,910.90 · L 3,895.54 · C 3,905.90
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 3,905.89 · H 3,970.03 · L 3,898.94 · C 3,936.53
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 3,936.51 · H 3,937.20 · L 3,919.43 · C 3,921.20
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 3,921.18 · H 3,940.54 · L 3,917.46 · C 3,938.14
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 3,938.11 · H 3,964.83 · L 3,919.87 · C 3,933.79
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 3,934.36 · H 4,028.94 · L 3,933.26 · C 4,022.60
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 4,022.66 · H 4,049.67 · L 4,021.29 · C 4,041.57
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 4,038.27 · H 4,051.50 · L 4,029.27 · C 4,048.64
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 4,048.95 · H 4,070.58 · L 4,039.23 · C 4,057.93
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 4,058.03 · H 4,071.64 · L 4,057.49 · C 4,065.40
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 4,065.53 · H 4,146.89 · L 4,061.24 · C 4,140.60
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 4,140.63 · H 4,145.47 · L 4,108.58 · C 4,124.03
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 4,123.84 · H 4,138.39 · L 4,119.88 · C 4,133.71
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 4,133.48 · H 4,135.82 · L 4,076.45 · C 4,083.21
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 4,085.05 · H 4,128.10 · L 4,084.30 · C 4,114.61
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 4,114.64 · H 4,114.64 · L 4,071.29 · C 4,086.51
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 4,086.17 · H 4,107.12 · L 4,040.38 · C 4,044.96
11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC

1Equal lows: potential liquidity11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 3,896.24
Two validated lows fall within the same tolerance. They may suggest potential liquidity; actual orders are not observed.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
2Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 3,969.98
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
3Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 4,018.79
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC
4Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,065.79
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
2 related technical events · e-acceptance-50-l-resistance-13-4, e-acceptance-50-l-resistance-15-5
5Re-entry after acceptance11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,065.79
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC
2 related technical events · e-failed_retest-55-l-resistance-13-4, e-failed_retest-55-l-resistance-15-5
6Re-entry after acceptance11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,082.79
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC

All verified events (21)

1Equal lows: potential liquidity11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 3,921.20
Two validated lows fall within the same tolerance. They may suggest potential liquidity; actual orders are not observed.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 3,891.85 – 3,900.63
2Equal highs: potential liquidity11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 3,938.14
Two validated highs fall within the same tolerance. They may suggest potential liquidity; actual orders are not observed.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Resistance 3,965.48 – 3,974.48
3Intrabar crossing without confirmation11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,022.60
The wick crossed the zone without an outside close. An intrabar crossing does not confirm a breakout.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,014.27 – 4,023.31
4Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,022.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 3,965.48 – 3,974.48 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.06837 · body 88.24 · wick ↑6.34 ↓1.10 · Review, risk and invalidation 3,965.48
5Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 4,041.57
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,014.27 – 4,023.31 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.79297 · body 18.91 · wick ↑8.10 ↓1.37 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,014.27
6Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 4,041.57
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Resistance 3,965.48 – 3,974.48
7Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 4,048.64
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,014.27 – 4,023.31
8Sweep: penetration and inside close11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 4,057.93
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,062.28 – 4,069.30
9Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,140.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,062.28 – 4,069.30 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.62002 · body 75.07 · wick ↑6.29 ↓4.29 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,062.28
10Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,140.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,067.38 – 4,074.10 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.62002 · body 75.07 · wick ↑6.29 ↓4.29 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,067.38
11Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,140.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,078.96 – 4,086.62 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.62002 · body 75.07 · wick ↑6.29 ↓4.29 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,078.96
12Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,124.03
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,062.28 – 4,069.30
13Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,124.03
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,067.38 – 4,074.10
14Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 4,124.03
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,078.96 – 4,086.62
15Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 4,083.21
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 3,965.48 – 3,974.48 · Observed range 3,933.26 – 4,146.89
16Retest with a maintained close11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 4,114.61
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,078.96 – 4,086.62
17Observed outcome after eight bars11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 4,114.61
These values describe the extension over eight subsequent observed bars. That outcome was still in the future at the initial break.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,014.27 – 4,023.31 · Observed range 4,021.29 – 4,146.89
18Retest with a maintained close11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 4,086.51
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,067.38 – 4,074.10
19Re-entry after acceptance11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,044.96
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,062.28 – 4,069.30 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,062.28
20Re-entry after acceptance11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,044.96
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,067.38 – 4,074.10 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,067.38
21Re-entry after acceptance11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · 4,044.96
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,078.96 – 4,086.62 · Review, risk and invalidation 4,078.96

Why these levels mattered

Resistance 4H4,067.38 – 4,074.10

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/28/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±3.36 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Resistance 4H4,078.96 – 4,086.62

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/28/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/29/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±3.83 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Resistance 4H4,062.28 – 4,069.30

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/27/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±3.51 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Resistance 4H3,965.48 – 3,974.48

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±4.50 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H3,891.85 – 3,900.63

Confirmed swing

Observed data 11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±4.39 · Final status: No test observed

Resistance 4H4,014.27 – 4,023.31

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/30/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±4.52 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H4,024.74 – 4,031.48

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±3.37 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Resistance 4H4,029.59 – 4,029.75

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/26/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±0.08 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Support 4H3,989.26 – 3,989.42

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/27/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.08 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Support 4H3,988.80 – 3,988.96

Confirmed swing

Observed data 10/26/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.08 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Support 4H4,001.52 – 4,009.02

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/29/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/30/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±3.75 · Final status: No test observed

Support 4H3,977.87 – 3,978.03

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/26/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±0.08 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Multi-timeframe context before the focus

Only complete UTC buckets closed before the focus are included. D1 is omitted without a verified market calendar.

1D · Higher timeframe bars cannot be reconstructed with complete bars and a verified calendar (market_calendar_unverified)

Confirmed swings: HL 4,028.11 (10/28/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · LL 4,025.03 (10/29/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · HH 4,082.79 (10/29/26, 8:00 AM UTC) · LL 3,896.24 (11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC) · LH 3,969.98 (11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LL 3,895.54 (11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC) · HH 3,970.03 (11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC) · HH 4,146.89 (11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC)

News and economic calendar

No timed economic event is linked to these candles; editorial news remains context, not a proven cause

Review, risk and invalidation

Context first, then confirmation, then risk. An opposite close through the zone weakens the interpretation. Do not chase speed: rising volatility calls for a size review and does not guarantee continuation.

Sources and methodology

Wilder ATR 14; sample standard deviation of 14 log returns, unannualized; expansion TR / average of the preceding 14 TRs. DVI averages three percentile ranks against the last 252 preceding observations (minimum 40). Five bands are score quintiles, not empirical risk thresholds. Causal calculation; no future candles.

Observed discontinuities may be market closures or missing bars. They are not filled. ATR and returns include gaps between observations. (1)

Actual feed: myfxbook_xauusd_archive · XAUUSD · provider_unspecified
UTC / cutoff: 2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z → 2026-11-06T04:00:00.000Z
SHA-256 / Observed data: 60c6fc484900cb542809db163ba2adc10a294c80990e59204d42085dd2c0714c
Engine / rules: 2.0.0 / mb-price-action-2.0.0 · 56 OHLC

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

XAUUSD spot H4 — open: 3898.39; close: 4044.96; high: 4146.89; low: 3892.84. The period closed above the open.

DISTINGUISH

H4 structure reacted from 3892.84, extended to 4146.89 and then consolidated at 4044.96, still above the period open.

REVIEW

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 4146.89; invalidated by 1 close below 4146.89. Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 3892.84; invalidated by 1 close above 3892.84. Consolidation: closes between 3892.84 and 4146.89; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Analysis data

Analysis data56 OHLC

Previous context high4,082.79

Previous context low3,870.21

Analysis focus25 candles

Structure of the move

13Equal lows: potential liquidityBreakout
14Acceptance: two consecutive closesBreakout
15Acceptance: two consecutive closesBreakout
24FVG · 3,964.83 – 4,021.29Range
16Acceptance: two consecutive closesBreakout
25FVG · 4,071.64 – 4,108.58Range
17Re-entry after acceptanceRetest
18Re-entry after acceptanceRetest

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 4146.89; invalidated by 1 close below 4146.89.

Reading the chart

Tap an annotation to read its context

1
Level
Resistance 4H · 4,070.74
10/28/26, 12:00 PM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,067.38 → 4,074.10
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±3.36 · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
2
Level
Resistance 4H · 4,082.79
10/29/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,078.96 → 4,086.62
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±3.83 · Knowable at candle close 10/29/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
3
Level
Resistance 4H · 4,065.79
10/28/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,062.28 → 4,069.30
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±3.51 · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
4
Level
Resistance 4H · 3,969.98
11/3/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,965.48 → 3,974.48
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±4.50 · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
5
Level
Support 4H · 3,896.24
11/3/26, 12:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,891.85 → 3,900.63
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±4.39 · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
6
Level
Resistance 4H · 4,018.79
11/2/26, 12:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,014.27 → 4,023.31
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±4.52 · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
7
Level
Support 4H · 4,028.11
10/28/26, 4:00 PM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,024.74 → 4,031.48
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±3.37 · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
8
Level
Resistance 4H · 4,029.67
10/27/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,029.59 → 4,029.75
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.08 · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
9
Level
Support 4H · 3,989.34
10/27/26, 8:00 PM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,989.26 → 3,989.42
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±0.08 · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
10
Level
Support 4H · 3,988.88
10/27/26, 12:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,988.80 → 3,988.96
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±0.08 · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
11
Level
Support 4H · 4,005.27
10/30/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,001.52 → 4,009.02
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±3.75 · Knowable at candle close 10/30/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
12
Level
Support 4H · 3,977.95
10/27/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,977.87 → 3,978.03
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.08 · Knowable at candle close 10/27/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
13
Breakout
Equal lows: potential liquidity
11/3/26, 4:00 PM · 3,921.20
Equal lows: potential liquidity · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 3,896.24
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
14
Breakout
Acceptance: two consecutive closes
11/4/26, 8:00 AM · 4,041.57
Acceptance: two consecutive closes · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Resistance 3,969.98
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
15
Breakout
Acceptance: two consecutive closes
11/4/26, 12:00 PM · 4,048.64
Acceptance: two consecutive closes · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 4,018.79
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
16
Breakout
Acceptance: two consecutive closes
11/5/26, 4:00 AM · 4,124.03
Acceptance: two consecutive closes · Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,065.79
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
17
Retest
Re-entry after acceptance
11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,044.96
Re-entry after acceptance · Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,065.79
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
18
Retest
Re-entry after acceptance
11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,044.96
Re-entry after acceptance · Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Resistance 4,082.79
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
19
Level
LL · 3,896.24
11/2/26, 12:00 PM · 3,896.24
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
20
Level
LH · 3,969.98
11/2/26, 4:00 PM · 3,969.98
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
21
Level
LL · 3,895.54
11/3/26, 8:00 AM · 3,895.54
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
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22
Level
HH · 3,970.03
11/3/26, 12:00 PM · 3,970.03
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC
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23
Level
HH · 4,146.89
11/5/26, 12:00 AM · 4,146.89
Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC
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24
Range
FVG · 3,964.83 – 4,021.29
11/4/26, 12:00 PM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 3,964.83 → 4,021.29
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
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25
Range
FVG · 4,071.64 – 4,108.58
11/5/26, 8:00 AM → 11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 4,071.64 → 4,108.58
Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Price reference · 4

26
Price reference
Previous context high
4,082.79
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
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27
Price reference
Previous context low
3,870.21
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
28
Price reference
Focus high
11/5/26, 12:00 AM · 4,146.89
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
29
Price reference
Focus low
11/2/26, 12:00 AM · 3,892.84
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Context and catalyst

01What happened

XAUUSD spot H4 — open: 3898.39; close: 4044.96; high: 4146.89; low: 3892.84. The period closed above the open.

02The move

Across 25 closed H4 candles, XAUUSD covered the 3892.84–4146.89 range and ended at 4044.96: wide volatility with a bullish final balance.

03Before the move

The focus uses 25 verified H4 bars from November 2 through the first candle of November 6, 2026. Election timing defines the period but does not prove one cause.

05Price structure

H4 structure reacted from 3892.84, extended to 4146.89 and then consolidated at 4044.96, still above the period open.

06Liquidity

The 4146.89 and 3892.84 areas are verified extremes. OHLC candles alone cannot establish actual stops or institutional orders.

07Session and timing

The 25 H4 bars are ordered in UTC; the last included bar closed at 04:00 UTC on November 6, 2026 and contains no floating candle.

10What this move teaches us

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 4146.89; invalidated by 1 close below 4146.89.

Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 3892.84; invalidated by 1 close above 3892.84.

Consolidation: closes between 3892.84 and 4146.89; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Snapshot OHLC data

UTC	O	H	L	C
2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z	3999.84	4004.13	3989.27	3997.24
2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z	3997.69	4016.72	3977.95	4007.28
2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z	4007.29	4019.26	4003.25	4009.56
2026-10-26T08:00:00.000Z	4009.65	4022.44	4009.54	4016.65
2026-10-26T12:00:00.000Z	4016.22	4026.62	3988.88	4015.94
2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z	4015.88	4029.67	4008.49	4013.14
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z	4013.09	4017.72	4004.21	4005.51
2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z	4005.53	4021.42	4003.87	4017.23
2026-10-27T04:00:00.000Z	4017.19	4025.22	3997.11	3998.31
2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z	3998.35	4016.09	3989.34	4012.43
2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z	4011.98	4064.57	4011.69	4063.61
2026-10-27T16:00:00.000Z	4063.55	4065.79	4054.15	4062.02
2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z	4061.75	4064.73	4057.45	4062.57
2026-10-28T00:00:00.000Z	4062.63	4070.74	4042.59	4043.08
2026-10-28T04:00:00.000Z	4042.93	4044.83	4028.11	4044.83
2026-10-28T08:00:00.000Z	4044.76	4058.41	4042.92	4045.7
2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z	4045.6	4060.22	4036.79	4041.84
2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z	4041.77	4075.43	4025.03	4075.43
2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z	4075.38	4082.79	4050.78	4054.13
2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z	4054.45	4069	4036.2	4038.3
2026-10-29T04:00:00.000Z	4038.46	4046.48	4022.09	4023.01
2026-10-29T08:00:00.000Z	4023.05	4039.33	4015.86	4019.13
2026-10-29T12:00:00.000Z	4019.14	4037.51	4017	4023.67
2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z	4023.49	4025.63	4005.27	4022.97
2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z	4022.89	4032.57	4006.92	4008.11
2026-10-30T00:00:00.000Z	4008.11	4018.79	3990.31	3993.9
2026-10-30T04:00:00.000Z	3993.78	4011.45	3965.36	3975.35
2026-10-30T08:00:00.000Z	3974.47	3999.42	3964.17	3966.59
2026-10-30T12:00:00.000Z	3966.47	3970.98	3891.54	3898.1
2026-10-30T16:00:00.000Z	3898.02	3902.77	3870.21	3884.22
2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z	3883.35	3902.39	3883.2	3898.45
2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z	3898.39	3914.74	3892.84	3902.41
2026-11-02T04:00:00.000Z	3902.31	3919.19	3897	3903.33
2026-11-02T08:00:00.000Z	3898.08	3898.81	3897.2	3898.16
2026-11-02T12:00:00.000Z	3901.45	3966.23	3896.24	3957.92
2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z	3958.05	3969.98	3938.87	3945.94
2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z	3945.82	3950.79	3937.44	3948.14
2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z	3947.84	3964.52	3924.5	3926.35
2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z	3926.16	3931.29	3906.6	3906.6
2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z	3906.67	3910.9	3895.54	3905.9
2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z	3905.89	3970.03	3898.94	3936.53
2026-11-03T16:00:00.000Z	3936.51	3937.2	3919.43	3921.2
2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z	3921.18	3940.54	3917.46	3938.14
2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z	3938.11	3964.83	3919.87	3933.79
2026-11-04T04:00:00.000Z	3934.36	4028.94	3933.26	4022.6
2026-11-04T08:00:00.000Z	4022.66	4049.67	4021.29	4041.57
2026-11-04T12:00:00.000Z	4038.27	4051.5	4029.27	4048.64
2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z	4048.95	4070.58	4039.23	4057.93
2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z	4058.03	4071.64	4057.49	4065.4
2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z	4065.53	4146.89	4061.24	4140.6
2026-11-05T04:00:00.000Z	4140.63	4145.47	4108.58	4124.03
2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z	4123.84	4138.39	4119.88	4133.71
2026-11-05T12:00:00.000Z	4133.48	4135.82	4076.45	4083.21
2026-11-05T16:00:00.000Z	4085.05	4128.1	4084.3	4114.61
2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z	4114.64	4114.64	4071.29	4086.51
2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z	4086.17	4107.12	4040.38	4044.96

Sources and methodologymyfxbook_xauusd_archive · XAUUSD

myfxbook_xauusd_archive · XAUUSD · 56 OHLC · focus 252026-11-07T19:19:02.033Z · UTC

Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

YMYL / TRUST

Editorial responsibility

Disciply Editorial ↗

Data captured: 2026-11-07T19:19:02.033Z
Data source: myfxbook_xauusd_archive · XAUUSD

Observed data

Prices, OHLC, timeframe and derived levels come from the frozen historical snapshot shown on this page.

Editorial interpretation

The text separates observed data from Disciply technical interpretation and described scenarios.

What we cannot infer

The snapshot does not establish future market direction, guarantee trading outcomes, or make provider volume equivalent to centralized traded volume.

Editorial responsibility · Disciply

XAUUSD H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

Reconstructing the move from data

The move in 30 seconds

Before the move

Peak DVI

What happened next

The move on the chart

Why these levels mattered

News and economic calendar

Review, risk and invalidation

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

DISTINGUISH

REVIEW

Analysis data

Structure of the move

Key levels

Reading the chart

Resistance 4H · 4,070.74

Resistance 4H · 4,082.79

Resistance 4H · 4,065.79

Resistance 4H · 3,969.98

Support 4H · 3,896.24

Resistance 4H · 4,018.79

Support 4H · 4,028.11

Resistance 4H · 4,029.67

Support 4H · 3,989.34

Support 4H · 3,988.88

Support 4H · 4,005.27

Support 4H · 3,977.95

Equal lows: potential liquidity

Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Re-entry after acceptance

Re-entry after acceptance

LL · 3,896.24

LH · 3,969.98

LL · 3,895.54

HH · 3,970.03

HH · 4,146.89

FVG · 3,964.83 – 4,021.29

FVG · 4,071.64 – 4,108.58

Previous context high

Previous context low

Focus high

Focus low

Context and catalyst

01What happened

02The move

03Before the move

05Price structure

06Liquidity

07Session and timing

10What this move teaches us

Editorial responsibility

Observed data

Editorial interpretation

What we cannot infer