Contexte et catalyseur
01Ce qui s’est passé
Bitcoin H4 — ouverture: 78354.01; clôture: 75844.00; haut: 81196.01; bas: 74888.00. La semaine clôture sous l'ouverture.
02Le mouvement
Sur 30 bougies H4, le cours couvre la zone 74888.00–81196.01 et termine à 75844.00 : forte volatilité et solde final baissier.
03Avant le mouvement
La période utilise 30 bougies H4 entre le 2 et le 7 novembre 2026. Le calendrier électoral définit la fenêtre, pas une cause unique.
05Structure du prix
La structure H4 rejette 81196.01 puis évolue vers 74888.00 ; le rebond final à 75844.00 n'efface pas la pression observée.
06Liquidité
Les zones 81196.01 et 74888.00 sont des extrêmes vérifiés. Les 30 bougies OHLC ne prouvent ni stops ni ordres institutionnels réels.
07Séance et timing
Les 30 bougies H4 sont ordonnées en UTC ; la dernière clôture avant le 7 novembre 2026 et ne contient aucun flottant.
10Ce que ce mouvement nous apprend
Scénario haussier : 2 clôtures H4 au-dessus de 81196.01 ; invalidation par 1 clôture sous 81196.01.
Scénario baissier : 2 clôtures H4 sous 74888.00 ; invalidation par 1 clôture au-dessus de 74888.00.
Consolidation : clôtures entre 74888.00 et 81196.01 ; invalidation par 1 clôture confirmée hors de la zone.
Données OHLC de l’instantané
| UTC | O | H | L | C | V |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z | 82289.99 | 82940.81 | 81842.2 | 82640.73 | 2474.49248 |
| 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z | 82640.74 | 82658.97 | 81319.84 | 81353.14 | 3161.14993 |
| 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z | 81353.15 | 81815.55 | 80809.25 | 81589.86 | 3915.21908 |
| 2026-10-16T20:00:00.000Z | 81589.85 | 81820.93 | 81524 | 81615.64 | 1400.95579 |
| 2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z | 81615.91 | 81677.88 | 81416 | 81573.58 | 1195.29848 |
| 2026-10-17T04:00:00.000Z | 81573.58 | 81770.01 | 81519.37 | 81738.87 | 981.1089 |
| 2026-10-17T08:00:00.000Z | 81738.87 | 81760.01 | 81558 | 81576.33 | 917.76451 |
| 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z | 81576.33 | 81616.01 | 81302.2 | 81355.2 | 943.95667 |
| 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z | 81355.2 | 81659.06 | 81190.71 | 81600 | 1431.24051 |
| 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z | 81600 | 81700 | 80819.66 | 81491.04 | 1569.50279 |
| 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z | 81491.04 | 82078 | 81403.25 | 81960 | 1609.56796 |
| 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z | 81960.01 | 81960.01 | 81626 | 81681.14 | 890.17043 |
| 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z | 81681.15 | 82295.47 | 81650.06 | 82069.72 | 1368.82874 |
| 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z | 82069.73 | 82127.68 | 81003.88 | 81178.18 | 2036.14998 |
| 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z | 81178.19 | 81282.93 | 80785.78 | 80880.02 | 1548.84295 |
| 2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z | 80880.01 | 82227.28 | 80684.36 | 82116 | 2644.65452 |
| 2026-10-19T00:00:00.000Z | 82116 | 82817.1 | 82010.58 | 82530.82 | 2803.5835 |
| 2026-10-19T04:00:00.000Z | 82530.81 | 83158 | 82484.27 | 82716.68 | 2402.70764 |
| 2026-10-19T08:00:00.000Z | 82716.68 | 83096.01 | 82116 | 82356.86 | 2034.91167 |
| 2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z | 82356.85 | 82757.33 | 81762.12 | 81942.44 | 2750.71596 |
| 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z | 81942.45 | 82152.34 | 81748.85 | 81880.82 | 1750.50635 |
| 2026-10-19T20:00:00.000Z | 81879.5 | 82270.43 | 81850 | 81938.4 | 1049.83233 |
| 2026-10-20T00:00:00.000Z | 81938.39 | 82138.43 | 81200 | 82138.42 | 2100.71113 |
| 2026-10-20T04:00:00.000Z | 82138.43 | 82272.06 | 81468.49 | 81567.39 | 2158.0451 |
| 2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z | 81567.38 | 81664.01 | 81331.97 | 81504.32 | 1960.40928 |
| 2026-10-20T12:00:00.000Z | 81504.32 | 83439 | 81322.22 | 82617.68 | 4755.13591 |
| 2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z | 82617.68 | 82929 | 82337.54 | 82606.01 | 1328.29444 |
| 2026-10-20T20:00:00.000Z | 82606.01 | 83189.45 | 82526 | 83028.15 | 1651.954 |
| 2026-10-21T00:00:00.000Z | 83028.14 | 83225 | 82728.8 | 82733.82 | 1512.00941 |
| 2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z | 82733.82 | 83255.37 | 82635.32 | 83153.78 | 1651.77786 |
| 2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z | 83153.78 | 83713.91 | 83100.15 | 83500.01 | 2549.2885 |
| 2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z | 83500.01 | 84828 | 83266.38 | 84540.01 | 5435.5869 |
| 2026-10-21T16:00:00.000Z | 84540.01 | 84898 | 84180.09 | 84489.59 | 3196.24044 |
| 2026-10-21T20:00:00.000Z | 84489.59 | 84847.31 | 84057.59 | 84093.42 | 2199.5772 |
| 2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z | 84093.42 | 84377.21 | 82670.74 | 82925.14 | 4288.31837 |
| 2026-10-22T04:00:00.000Z | 82925.14 | 82991.57 | 82111 | 82239.46 | 3813.35834 |
| 2026-10-22T08:00:00.000Z | 82239.46 | 82267.79 | 81653 | 81750.01 | 3163.31944 |
| 2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z | 81750.01 | 82086.96 | 81328 | 81681.69 | 4286.18756 |
| 2026-10-22T16:00:00.000Z | 81681.69 | 81764.01 | 80939.54 | 81494.39 | 2721.60833 |
| 2026-10-22T20:00:00.000Z | 81494.4 | 81568.01 | 81200 | 81416.09 | 1203.62295 |
| 2026-10-23T00:00:00.000Z | 81416.09 | 82033.84 | 81118.42 | 81889.32 | 2909.12398 |
| 2026-10-23T04:00:00.000Z | 81889.32 | 81982.54 | 81542.01 | 81579.52 | 1363.14744 |
| 2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z | 81579.52 | 81914.83 | 81550.09 | 81726.1 | 1499.38689 |
| 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z | 81726.09 | 82060.88 | 81099 | 81692.01 | 3154.48915 |
| 2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z | 81692.01 | 81846.26 | 81250.01 | 81282.33 | 1377.40035 |
| 2026-10-23T20:00:00.000Z | 81282.33 | 81500 | 80513 | 81189.43 | 2164.95911 |
| 2026-10-24T00:00:00.000Z | 81189.44 | 81213.64 | 80601.99 | 80977.92 | 1269.17889 |
| 2026-10-24T04:00:00.000Z | 80977.92 | 81097.47 | 80696 | 80732.01 | 2042.77569 |
| 2026-10-24T08:00:00.000Z | 80732.01 | 80828.91 | 80451.18 | 80599.41 | 1374.31904 |
| 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z | 80599.41 | 80846.01 | 79220.74 | 79803.75 | 4325.71128 |
| 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z | 79803.74 | 80638.67 | 79580 | 80489.11 | 1684.5451 |
| 2026-10-24T20:00:00.000Z | 80489.11 | 80933.56 | 80304.71 | 80888.16 | 1023.01151 |
| 2026-10-25T00:00:00.000Z | 80888.15 | 81033.69 | 80771.72 | 80862.98 | 936.7042 |
| 2026-10-25T04:00:00.000Z | 80862.98 | 80959.97 | 80430.45 | 80672.83 | 758.16185 |
| 2026-10-25T08:00:00.000Z | 80672.84 | 80697.04 | 80087.7 | 80580.97 | 955.80446 |
| 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z | 80580.97 | 80800 | 80245 | 80636.11 | 952.30974 |
| 2026-10-25T16:00:00.000Z | 80636.11 | 80951.57 | 80534 | 80567.47 | 1096.22544 |
| 2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z | 80567.47 | 80732.01 | 79845.86 | 80154.09 | 1553.71926 |
| 2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z | 80154.09 | 80386.01 | 79368.67 | 79598.02 | 2674.45938 |
| 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z | 79598.02 | 80300 | 79580.01 | 80046.71 | 1623.98363 |
| 2026-10-26T08:00:00.000Z | 80046.72 | 80575.45 | 79673.8 | 80416.01 | 1998.95853 |
| 2026-10-26T12:00:00.000Z | 80416 | 80844.7 | 79451.35 | 80427.69 | 5197.73263 |
| 2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z | 80427.69 | 80553.6 | 79795.21 | 80020.01 | 2360.27145 |
| 2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z | 80020.01 | 80211.47 | 79728.57 | 80150.56 | 1515.94222 |
| 2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z | 80150.56 | 80388.37 | 79648 | 79819.56 | 2368.82282 |
| 2026-10-27T04:00:00.000Z | 79819.56 | 80048.01 | 79558.49 | 79806.72 | 1873.81977 |
| 2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z | 79806.71 | 80162.44 | 79506 | 79910.01 | 1467.27166 |
| 2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z | 79910 | 80704.86 | 79843.11 | 80562.27 | 3115.86043 |
| 2026-10-27T16:00:00.000Z | 80562.27 | 80836.01 | 80443.85 | 80817.76 | 2490.06378 |
| 2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z | 80817.75 | 81300 | 80638 | 80909.77 | 1914.80751 |
| 2026-10-28T00:00:00.000Z | 80909.77 | 81226.01 | 80621.22 | 81145.11 | 1848.04814 |
| 2026-10-28T04:00:00.000Z | 81145.11 | 81145.11 | 80858.08 | 81082 | 966.53797 |
| 2026-10-28T08:00:00.000Z | 81082 | 81823 | 81082 | 81341.96 | 2093.0291 |
| 2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z | 81341.95 | 81341.96 | 80397.14 | 80553.13 | 2495.38446 |
| 2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z | 80553.13 | 81621.17 | 80400 | 81585.39 | 3582.87025 |
| 2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z | 81585.39 | 81788.56 | 80986.29 | 81343.5 | 2123.50492 |
| 2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z | 81343.51 | 81380.01 | 79710 | 79858.01 | 2353.22439 |
| 2026-10-29T04:00:00.000Z | 79858.01 | 80527.02 | 79782 | 79861.89 | 1724.47897 |
| 2026-10-29T08:00:00.000Z | 79861.89 | 80374.42 | 79852.35 | 80170.02 | 1917.79779 |
| 2026-10-29T12:00:00.000Z | 80170.03 | 81900 | 79916 | 81777.74 | 4049.17439 |
| 2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z | 81778.01 | 81971 | 80592 | 80848.64 | 3291.74753 |
| 2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z | 80848.64 | 80849.95 | 77910 | 77991.89 | 10495.75991 |
| 2026-10-30T00:00:00.000Z | 77991.89 | 78274.09 | 76500.11 | 78235.15 | 9061.5018 |
| 2026-10-30T04:00:00.000Z | 78235.15 | 78804.01 | 77927 | 78185.38 | 3520.86266 |
| 2026-10-30T08:00:00.000Z | 78186 | 78241.3 | 77239.14 | 77382.01 | 3960.96646 |
| 2026-10-30T12:00:00.000Z | 77382.01 | 78110 | 76632 | 77622 | 3915.71343 |
| 2026-10-30T16:00:00.000Z | 77622.01 | 77692.31 | 76325.98 | 76942.57 | 2490.37212 |
| 2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z | 76942.57 | 77384.01 | 76626 | 77368.77 | 1346.53201 |
| 2026-10-31T00:00:00.000Z | 77368.76 | 77654.44 | 77136.2 | 77170.74 | 1317.06939 |
| 2026-10-31T04:00:00.000Z | 77170.74 | 77518.01 | 77114.01 | 77356 | 1130.50345 |
| 2026-10-31T08:00:00.000Z | 77356 | 77699.99 | 77262.72 | 77618.97 | 753.3226 |
| 2026-10-31T12:00:00.000Z | 77618.97 | 77745.33 | 77392.01 | 77622.01 | 1294.6885 |
| 2026-10-31T16:00:00.000Z | 77622.01 | 77796.01 | 77562.94 | 77588.83 | 1280.32651 |
| 2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z | 77588.83 | 77764.01 | 77450 | 77582.02 | 511.62996 |
| 2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z | 77582.02 | 77897.03 | 77517.2 | 77802 | 776.61958 |
| 2026-11-01T04:00:00.000Z | 77802.01 | 78068 | 77721.14 | 77991.28 | 1276.36281 |
| 2026-11-01T08:00:00.000Z | 77991.28 | 78285 | 77913.66 | 77962.62 | 1374.30554 |
| 2026-11-01T12:00:00.000Z | 77962.63 | 78138.01 | 77749.09 | 77988.03 | 1184.2392 |
| 2026-11-01T16:00:00.000Z | 77988.03 | 78172.7 | 77622.81 | 77799.29 | 886.64822 |
| 2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z | 77799.29 | 78422.23 | 77620 | 78354 | 1046.18522 |
| 2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z | 78354.01 | 78878.01 | 78044.11 | 78634.01 | 1820.55376 |
| 2026-11-02T04:00:00.000Z | 78634.01 | 78723.76 | 77926.7 | 78113.85 | 1324.9392 |
| 2026-11-02T08:00:00.000Z | 78113.85 | 78405.66 | 77788.07 | 77894.16 | 1928.4853 |
| 2026-11-02T12:00:00.000Z | 77894.17 | 78254.17 | 77298.28 | 77519.24 | 3498.53492 |
| 2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z | 77519.25 | 77685.74 | 76705 | 77096.29 | 2532.13852 |
| 2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z | 77096.28 | 77220 | 76714.76 | 76816 | 1536.06328 |
| 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z | 76816.01 | 77314.01 | 76541.6 | 76937.05 | 3145.46801 |
| 2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z | 76937.06 | 77156.01 | 76388.88 | 76829.55 | 2083.13016 |
| 2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z | 76829.56 | 77279.07 | 76512 | 77108.37 | 1683.77587 |
| 2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z | 77108.37 | 77886.86 | 77002.44 | 77688.47 | 3075.41162 |
| 2026-11-03T16:00:00.000Z | 77688.47 | 77892.85 | 77380 | 77612 | 1548.43049 |
| 2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z | 77612 | 78063.3 | 77421.19 | 77453.86 | 1023.96011 |
| 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z | 77453.85 | 77544.01 | 75736.38 | 76496.04 | 3934.35442 |
| 2026-11-04T04:00:00.000Z | 76496.05 | 78374.42 | 76434.11 | 78140 | 3217.75329 |
| 2026-11-04T08:00:00.000Z | 78140.01 | 78718 | 78140.01 | 78477.25 | 2085.53098 |
| 2026-11-04T12:00:00.000Z | 78477.24 | 81196.01 | 78001.77 | 80296.01 | 7219.82557 |
| 2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z | 80296.01 | 80751.98 | 79952.75 | 79997.8 | 4055.75676 |
| 2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z | 79997.79 | 80962 | 79952 | 80504.01 | 1627.20752 |
| 2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z | 80504.01 | 80918.01 | 80256 | 80543.11 | 2152.97663 |
| 2026-11-05T04:00:00.000Z | 80543.11 | 80794.01 | 80294.27 | 80358.95 | 2058.99605 |
| 2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z | 80358.96 | 80643.18 | 80228.32 | 80390.01 | 2346.35394 |
| 2026-11-05T12:00:00.000Z | 80390.01 | 80390.02 | 75568 | 76029.79 | 9742.79576 |
| 2026-11-05T16:00:00.000Z | 76029.78 | 77006.01 | 75641.97 | 76368.25 | 5925.58673 |
| 2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z | 76368.26 | 76400 | 75208.42 | 76088.01 | 3833.03343 |
| 2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z | 76088.01 | 76416.24 | 75778 | 75912.71 | 2423.97056 |
| 2026-11-06T04:00:00.000Z | 75912.71 | 75920.01 | 75304.11 | 75615.55 | 2817.27525 |
| 2026-11-06T08:00:00.000Z | 75615.55 | 76300 | 75483.76 | 76147.73 | 2317.79532 |
| 2026-11-06T12:00:00.000Z | 76147.72 | 76378 | 74888 | 75866.01 | 4986.44208 |
| 2026-11-06T16:00:00.000Z | 75866.01 | 76150 | 75410 | 75888.01 | 2129.10249 |
| 2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z | 75888 | 76208.25 | 75732 | 75844 | 2533.09216 |
| 2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z | 75844 | 76102.52 | 75790 | 75893.66 | 1114.93497 |
| 2026-11-07T04:00:00.000Z | 75893.66 | 76120.32 | 75847.3 | 76094.95 | 1189.59896 |
| 2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z | 76094.95 | 76249.99 | 75931.25 | 75984.5 | 738.54676 |
| 2026-11-07T12:00:00.000Z | 75984.51 | 76017.83 | 75600.82 | 75758.01 | 811.47725 |