BTCUSDTCrypto

Sep 28, 2026, 2:00 AM

Europe/RomeWeekly

Bitcoin — from Monday risk-off to the test above $86,000

BTC fell into the 82-83k area, rebuilt H1 structure and moved above 85k and 86k between PCE and NFP, before the post-NFP rejection.

BTCUSDT1H · Sep 28, 2026WeeklyMacro

Tap an annotation to read its context

Last snapshot price84,586.00

46.00 · 0.05%

Focus change

Focus high87,220.00Focus low82,563.00

Focus volume96,209.074Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

Focus duration7,200 min120 candles · 1H

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

Monday risk-off developed with oil and geopolitical tensions, elevated Treasury yields and a firm USD. These are contextual factors, not certain causality.

DISTINGUISH

H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.

REVIEW

The case separates breakout from acceptance. This is not a forecast toward 100k: breakout quality depends on what the market builds afterward.

binance · BTCUSDT · 247 OHLC · focus 1202026-10-03T07:39:18.732Z · Europe/Rome

Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

YMYL / TRUST

Editorial responsibility

Disciply Editorial ↗

Data captured: 2026-10-03T07:39:18.732Z
Data source: binance · BTCUSDT

Observed data

Prices, OHLC, timeframe and derived levels come from the frozen historical snapshot shown on this page.

Editorial interpretation

The text separates observed data from Disciply technical interpretation and described scenarios.

What we cannot infer

The snapshot does not establish future market direction, guarantee trading outcomes, or make provider volume equivalent to centralized traded volume.

Editorial responsibility · Disciply

Analysis data

Analysis data247 OHLC

Previous context high85,255

Previous context low83,183

Analysis focus120 candles

The case separates breakout from acceptance. This is not a forecast toward 100k: breakout quality depends on what the market builds afterward.

Key levels

84,999.00Riferimento 85k
85,255.00Previous context high
83,183.00Previous context low
87,220.00Focus high
82,563.00Focus low
84,586.00Last snapshot price

Reading the chart

Tap an annotation to read its context

1
Level
Minimo settimanale
9/28/26, 4:00 PM · 82,563.00
H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
2
Level
Riferimento 85k
84,999.00
H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
3
News / event
PCE USA · 14:30
9/30/26, 2:30 PM
Softer US PCE on September 30 and very weak NFP on October 2 coincided with strong BTC volatility windows. The breakout above 86k had already occurred before NFP.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
4
Expansion
Espansione PCE
9/30/26, 2:00 PM → 9/30/26, 3:00 PM · 83,915.17 → 85,649.95
Four H1 phases: bearish expansion toward 82-83k; 83-84k balance; PCE breakout above 85k with a quick return; recovery above 85k and 86k before NFP, new high and rejection.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
5
Breakout
Breakout pre-NFP >86k
10/2/26, 6:00 AM · 86,912.75
H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
6
News / event
NFP USA · 14:30
10/2/26, 2:30 PM
Softer US PCE on September 30 and very weak NFP on October 2 coincided with strong BTC volatility windows. The breakout above 86k had already occurred before NFP.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
7
Level
Massimo settimanale
10/2/26, 2:00 PM · 87,220.00
H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
8
Expansion
Rejection post-NFP
10/2/26, 2:00 PM → 10/2/26, 8:00 PM · 87,220.00 → 83,888.00
Four H1 phases: bearish expansion toward 82-83k; 83-84k balance; PCE breakout above 85k with a quick return; recovery above 85k and 86k before NFP, new high and rejection.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Price reference · 4

9
Price reference
Previous context high
85,255.00
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
10
Price reference
Previous context low
83,183.00
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
11
Price reference
Focus high
10/2/26, 2:00 PM · 87,220.00
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
12
Price reference
Focus low
9/28/26, 4:00 PM · 82,563.00
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Context and catalyst

01What happened

On Monday BTC fell into the 82-83k area. On Wednesday PCE coincided with an expansion above 85k without immediate acceptance. On Friday BTC moved above 86k before NFP, extended above 87k in the data window and then absorbed the breakout.

02The move

Four H1 phases: bearish expansion toward 82-83k; 83-84k balance; PCE breakout above 85k with a quick return; recovery above 85k and 86k before NFP, new high and rejection.

03Before the move

Monday risk-off developed with oil and geopolitical tensions, elevated Treasury yields and a firm USD. These are contextual factors, not certain causality.

04News / catalyst

Softer US PCE on September 30 and very weak NFP on October 2 coincided with strong BTC volatility windows. The breakout above 86k had already occurred before NFP.

05Price structure

H1 moves from lower highs/lower lows into balance, then reclaims 85k and breaks 86k. The return below 86k and 85k after the high shows failed immediate continuation.

06Liquidity

82-83k is the main lower reference; 85k, 86k and highs above 87k are the upper references explored. The return into the range shows no stable acceptance above the highs.

07Session and timing

BTC trades 24/7. The PCE expansion occurs in the London/New York overlap; on Friday the break above 86k precedes NFP and New York then develops the rejection.

08Volume / volatility

Binance BTCUSDT base-asset volume, not aggregate Bitcoin volume. Participation rises during PCE, the breakout above 86k and the subsequent selloff.

09The Disciply perspective

The macro-price relationship is non-linear: Monday risk-off, an unheld PCE breakout and a new high with weak NFP followed by loss of the breakout.

10What this move teaches us

The case separates breakout from acceptance. This is not a forecast toward 100k: breakout quality depends on what the market builds afterward.

Snapshot OHLC data

UTC	O	H	L	C	V
2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z	86208.57	86588.3	86133.4	86457.3	617.38252
2026-09-23T01:00:00.000Z	86457.31	86845.39	86169.74	86370	781.39738
2026-09-23T02:00:00.000Z	86370.01	86638.15	86260.01	86552.26	553.16487
2026-09-23T03:00:00.000Z	86552.27	86975.51	86436.35	86704.27	495.62113
2026-09-23T04:00:00.000Z	86704.27	87278.54	86636	87166.95	876.93454
2026-09-23T05:00:00.000Z	87166.94	87166.95	86424	86496.01	734.60459
2026-09-23T06:00:00.000Z	86496	86609.93	86375	86469.66	728.90495
2026-09-23T07:00:00.000Z	86469.67	86469.67	86000	86124.77	902.10402
2026-09-23T08:00:00.000Z	86124.77	86264.01	85688	85899.99	908.01386
2026-09-23T09:00:00.000Z	85899.99	86024.01	85734.01	85854.33	592.82384
2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z	85854.34	85934.02	85658.75	85923.07	574.90087
2026-09-23T11:00:00.000Z	85923.07	85966.04	85450.88	85649.95	706.12351
2026-09-23T12:00:00.000Z	85649.96	85675.04	85267.32	85510.91	731.94616
2026-09-23T13:00:00.000Z	85510.9	85878.01	85288	85792.01	1074.83799
2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z	85792.01	85940.32	83864.07	84533.99	4612.32757
2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z	84534	84794.01	83950	83996.01	1886.75286
2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z	83996	84363.19	83500.01	84038	1490.08224
2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z	84038.01	84392.56	83699.27	84326.56	1153.11912
2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z	84326.55	84411	84136	84330	661.4068
2026-09-23T19:00:00.000Z	84330	84565.21	84228	84518	667.95349
2026-09-23T20:00:00.000Z	84518	84569.94	84224.01	84232.86	422.98773
2026-09-23T21:00:00.000Z	84232.86	84516.01	84212.68	84419.48	416.52546
2026-09-23T22:00:00.000Z	84419.49	84670.01	84344.51	84563.01	361.03249
2026-09-23T23:00:00.000Z	84563.01	84566	84352	84397.6	199.98478
2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z	84397.6	84494.5	84213.99	84318	498.25449
2026-09-24T01:00:00.000Z	84318	84470.47	84064	84104.35	584.80296
2026-09-24T02:00:00.000Z	84104.35	84372.01	83744.7	84365.54	649.85626
2026-09-24T03:00:00.000Z	84365.55	84480.01	83850	83934.01	368.89645
2026-09-24T04:00:00.000Z	83934.01	84054.05	83781.89	84046	361.13702
2026-09-24T05:00:00.000Z	84046	84400	83959.55	83978.02	317.28584
2026-09-24T06:00:00.000Z	83978.02	84225.07	83918.84	84113.99	490.3723
2026-09-24T07:00:00.000Z	84114	84612.01	83950	84524.02	983.17968
2026-09-24T08:00:00.000Z	84524.02	84622.01	83301	83660	1604.94809
2026-09-24T09:00:00.000Z	83660.01	83743.43	82874.93	83263.95	1740.04754
2026-09-24T10:00:00.000Z	83263.96	83566.66	83156	83512.2	948.52494
2026-09-24T11:00:00.000Z	83512.2	83616.01	83399.47	83494.58	547.2589
2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z	83494.59	83670.01	83346.66	83604.26	495.65647
2026-09-24T13:00:00.000Z	83604.26	84340.01	83600	84258.43	1073.28333
2026-09-24T14:00:00.000Z	84258.42	84942.45	83388.88	83673.77	2183.00027
2026-09-24T15:00:00.000Z	83673.77	84468.01	83508	84418	1011.03559
2026-09-24T16:00:00.000Z	84418.01	84924.01	84044.02	84500.33	1160.39204
2026-09-24T17:00:00.000Z	84500.32	84562.01	84017.68	84110	702.81371
2026-09-24T18:00:00.000Z	84110	84554	83888	84476.01	511.24518
2026-09-24T19:00:00.000Z	84476.01	84660	84298	84412.65	650.38242
2026-09-24T20:00:00.000Z	84412.64	84500	84170	84371.63	604.1686
2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z	84371.62	84501.16	84290	84350	421.87972
2026-09-24T22:00:00.000Z	84350	84368.01	83948.43	84277.32	524.2865
2026-09-24T23:00:00.000Z	84277.32	84473.58	84269.99	84410.24	270.91141
2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	84410.24	84718.02	84410.24	84590.01	583.04093
2026-09-25T01:00:00.000Z	84590.01	84796.51	84366	84610.73	553.77183
2026-09-25T02:00:00.000Z	84610.74	84888	84180	84226.16	577.26362
2026-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	84226.17	84385.1	84063.18	84231.19	421.10752
2026-09-25T04:00:00.000Z	84231.19	84298.01	84061.22	84208.01	494.24466
2026-09-25T05:00:00.000Z	84208	84347.86	84096.94	84194.01	303.94989
2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z	84194	84284.01	83938	84036	402.77283
2026-09-25T07:00:00.000Z	84036.01	84096.01	83750.5	84043.96	1342.44951
2026-09-25T08:00:00.000Z	84043.96	84512	84028.98	84417.06	686.85192
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z	84417.05	84870	84417.05	84570.01	698.57495
2026-09-25T10:00:00.000Z	84570.02	84870	84394	84713.66	540.8531
2026-09-25T11:00:00.000Z	84713.67	85255	84567.02	84582.64	1799.94837
2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	84582.64	84704	83900	84471.8	1293.76547
2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z	84471.79	84600.01	83530.06	83923.71	1647.67121
2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z	83923.71	84030.01	83183	84016.01	2047.65742
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	84016.01	84092.01	83363.63	83796.01	1178.04356
2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z	83796.01	84115.87	83720	83742.22	787.15982
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z	83742.23	83995.84	83628	83785.11	596.02916
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	83785.11	84081.41	83785.11	83968	341.90397
2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z	83968.01	84078.23	83934	84020.01	328.96659
2026-09-25T20:00:00.000Z	84020.01	84193.39	83817.89	83886	308.93872
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	83886.01	83921.36	83632.03	83792	365.84717
2026-09-25T22:00:00.000Z	83792	84123.35	83765.26	84083.05	367.91947
2026-09-25T23:00:00.000Z	84083.05	84106	84020	84099.99	387.5335
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	84100	84145.26	83798	83910.01	384.81627
2026-09-26T01:00:00.000Z	83910.01	84086.01	83906.72	84076.66	380.38641
2026-09-26T02:00:00.000Z	84076.67	84138.6	83996	84010	353.25072
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	84010	84049.83	83909.98	83939	235.38951
2026-09-26T04:00:00.000Z	83939.01	84045.65	83848.91	83976	366.5919
2026-09-26T05:00:00.000Z	83976.01	84012.93	83891.27	83919.69	196.5401
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	83919.69	83968.01	83876.58	83891.22	292.11571
2026-09-26T07:00:00.000Z	83891.23	84134.01	83891.23	84116.8	280.35605
2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z	84116.79	84336.96	84032.06	84220.01	377.1799
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	84220.01	84220.01	83966.03	84021.95	300.20233
2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z	84021.96	84184.95	84021.95	84179.92	213.98608
2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z	84179.92	84199.97	84130.79	84176	198.01949
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	84176	84204.88	84050	84051.9	235.98415
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z	84051.89	84125.45	83856.23	83939.1	442.96191
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z	83939.11	84049.19	83919.1	84020	252.95346
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	84020.01	84190	84010.49	84155.99	441.81063
2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z	84156	84174.33	84098.18	84120	264.1412
2026-09-26T17:00:00.000Z	84120	84132.41	84041.92	84132.4	379.58461
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	84132.4	84162.52	83990	83998.68	395.31178
2026-09-26T19:00:00.000Z	83998.68	84048.14	83976.74	84016.63	328.15515
2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z	84016.63	84097.88	83838	84030.34	225.50053
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	84030.35	84262.85	84030.34	84158.75	273.42687
2026-09-26T22:00:00.000Z	84158.74	84420.59	84158.74	84276.01	558.3193
2026-09-26T23:00:00.000Z	84276.01	84473.58	84276	84433.1	681.08059
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	84433.11	84443.26	84257.07	84306.01	184.36474
2026-09-27T01:00:00.000Z	84306.01	84571.13	84281.84	84495.01	302.85952
2026-09-27T02:00:00.000Z	84495.01	84540.01	84448	84450	221.93995
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	84450.01	84518.6	84372	84402.15	195.71508
2026-09-27T04:00:00.000Z	84402.15	84510	84305.35	84329.6	202.10127
2026-09-27T05:00:00.000Z	84329.61	84654.02	84325	84478.06	357.82469
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	84478.06	84636.91	84478.06	84511.69	440.61295
2026-09-27T07:00:00.000Z	84511.69	84791	84500	84791	475.5529
2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z	84790.99	84883.98	84692.68	84800	957.18622
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	84800	84958.99	84590	84944.01	1322.2286
2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z	84944.01	85117.64	84800	84883	545.16779
2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z	84882.99	84946.01	84836.06	84898	251.99141
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	84898	85044.51	84802.01	84802.01	294.04359
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z	84802.01	85159.03	84637.73	85030.41	546.25175
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z	85030.41	85048.14	84450	84538.02	539.04021
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	84538.01	84644.01	84364	84463.37	477.19429
2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z	84463.38	84687.32	84380	84426	303.32281
2026-09-27T17:00:00.000Z	84426	84574.01	84342	84574	248.02128
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	84574	84820.74	84565.9	84818.87	245.93692
2026-09-27T19:00:00.000Z	84818.87	84843	84666	84736.01	208.94856
2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z	84736.02	84813	84548	84552	221.75687
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	84552.01	84719.82	84458	84688.07	248.48896
2026-09-27T22:00:00.000Z	84688.07	84756.01	84135.78	84195.27	432.15056
2026-09-27T23:00:00.000Z	84195.27	84532.01	84132	84472	392.42871
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	84472.01	84999	84140	84140	772.04412
2026-09-28T01:00:00.000Z	84140	84238.87	83613.8	83694.43	1023.29324
2026-09-28T02:00:00.000Z	83694.42	83782.07	83389.07	83418.24	872.84472
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	83418.91	83536.48	83210	83338.6	696.19046
2026-09-28T04:00:00.000Z	83338.6	83526.01	83232	83490.21	488.21735
2026-09-28T05:00:00.000Z	83490.2	83534.01	82705.02	83184.01	1445.71416
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	83184	83295.84	83046	83164.78	634.32079
2026-09-28T07:00:00.000Z	83164.78	83291.66	82920	82966.01	1134.53116
2026-09-28T08:00:00.000Z	82966	83160.33	82784	82962	1994.51621
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	82962.01	83003.67	82597.55	82666.01	1165.04903
2026-09-28T10:00:00.000Z	82666.01	83064.51	82666.01	82960	804.82256
2026-09-28T11:00:00.000Z	82960.01	83111	82960	83082.54	835.88182
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	83082.53	83631.43	83011.48	83579.75	1210.60365
2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z	83579.75	83820	83310.71	83641.99	1176.20149
2026-09-28T14:00:00.000Z	83641.99	83642	82563	83020	1496.68398
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	83020.01	83397.18	82792	83370	1411.06683
2026-09-28T16:00:00.000Z	83370	84188.9	83256	83723.1	1107.71891
2026-09-28T17:00:00.000Z	83723.1	84381.3	83563.11	83880.33	811.05402
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	83880.34	84045.23	83800	84041.19	431.21621
2026-09-28T19:00:00.000Z	84041.19	84045.23	83118.1	83389.54	510.926
2026-09-28T20:00:00.000Z	83389.53	83613.8	83270	83548	281.2084
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	83548.01	83664.01	83214	83218.01	212.62495
2026-09-28T22:00:00.000Z	83218.01	83544.01	83100	83544.01	266.26006
2026-09-28T23:00:00.000Z	83544.01	83636.7	83455	83500.01	177.7345
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	83500.01	83620.01	83183	83185.69	543.35625
2026-09-29T01:00:00.000Z	83185.69	83241.99	82775.94	83068	755.14095
2026-09-29T02:00:00.000Z	83068.01	83156.01	82891.32	82967.4	450.3598
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	82967.41	83210.01	82866.01	83069.99	308.8323
2026-09-29T04:00:00.000Z	83070	83295.61	83024.43	83212.98	350.37336
2026-09-29T05:00:00.000Z	83212.98	83434.56	82971.1	83431.02	359.15809
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	83431.01	84017.74	83420.01	84007.06	657.44864
2026-09-29T07:00:00.000Z	84007.07	84200	83873.74	83980.97	614.40314
2026-09-29T08:00:00.000Z	83980.97	84368.01	83800	83874.01	650.67911
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	83874.01	84328.94	83760.4	84258.01	883.3981
2026-09-29T10:00:00.000Z	84258.01	84332.76	83987.99	84030.49	509.50694
2026-09-29T11:00:00.000Z	84030.5	84500	83936.92	84358.01	492.05356
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	84358	84488.99	84133	84332.85	590.42788
2026-09-29T13:00:00.000Z	84332.85	84563.99	84025.26	84200.01	856.91501
2026-09-29T14:00:00.000Z	84200.01	84288.01	83688	83752.01	1050.62321
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	83752	83756.25	82910	83068	1492.11066
2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z	83068	83290	82900	83061.27	684.06981
2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z	83061.28	83218.01	82985	83078.01	383.29698
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	83078.01	83700	83078.01	83640	394.02033
2026-09-29T19:00:00.000Z	83640	83700	83398.5	83594.01	320.21817
2026-09-29T20:00:00.000Z	83594.01	83654.85	83508	83616.39	204.262
2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z	83616.38	83616.39	83384	83503.99	344.15954
2026-09-29T22:00:00.000Z	83503.99	83722.01	83503.99	83612.01	274.89307
2026-09-29T23:00:00.000Z	83612	83849	83612	83663.66	291.84641
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	83663.66	83731.46	83344.78	83453.36	410.86191
2026-09-30T01:00:00.000Z	83453.36	83550.39	83336.51	83448.01	408.46614
2026-09-30T02:00:00.000Z	83448.01	83620.87	83298	83384.68	342.33881
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	83384.68	83427.51	83175.67	83300.65	264.75568
2026-09-30T04:00:00.000Z	83300.65	83433.33	83210	83210.01	286.48367
2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z	83210.01	83521.98	83188.01	83384	440.8336
2026-09-30T06:00:00.000Z	83384.01	83438.01	82980	83043.14	530.29994
2026-09-30T07:00:00.000Z	83043.14	83470	82956.11	83304.92	688.1658
2026-09-30T08:00:00.000Z	83304.92	83339.91	83023.69	83062.41	628.26691
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	83062.41	83812.41	83058	83632.01	644.75388
2026-09-30T10:00:00.000Z	83632.01	83950	83632.01	83918.01	758.46227
2026-09-30T11:00:00.000Z	83918	83981.11	83696	83915.16	449.16897
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	83915.17	85514	83768	85290.32	3850.10161
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z	85290.32	85649.95	84019.39	84637.74	2383.56099
2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z	84637.74	84644.83	83373	83800.01	1897.96585
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	83800.01	84295.71	83694	84134.43	810.9913
2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z	84134.43	84490.01	84134.43	84349.44	571.82403
2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z	84349.44	84435.26	83923.71	84031.46	592.67571
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	84031.47	84078.55	83792.98	83950	432.13033
2026-09-30T19:00:00.000Z	83950.01	83958.01	83503.18	83603.16	502.3693
2026-09-30T20:00:00.000Z	83603.16	83771.16	83530.11	83673.99	420.0892
2026-09-30T21:00:00.000Z	83673.99	83818.83	83673.99	83757.72	302.08867
2026-09-30T22:00:00.000Z	83757.73	83845	83580.29	83685.85	214.8942
2026-09-30T23:00:00.000Z	83685.86	83836.07	83523.65	83623.6	691.27124
2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z	83623.59	83660.01	83429.8	83509.03	451.69518
2026-10-01T01:00:00.000Z	83509.03	83692	83482.2	83518.07	343.4474
2026-10-01T02:00:00.000Z	83518.07	83668.01	83410.39	83490.78	362.14695
2026-10-01T03:00:00.000Z	83490.78	83780.14	83424.58	83754.01	325.01626
2026-10-01T04:00:00.000Z	83754.01	84207.53	83720.4	84110.01	514.62822
2026-10-01T05:00:00.000Z	84110.01	84368	84032	84291.48	420.04452
2026-10-01T06:00:00.000Z	84291.49	84419.69	84105.76	84121.45	398.59463
2026-10-01T07:00:00.000Z	84121.45	84214.18	83321.71	83429.93	1433.53387
2026-10-01T08:00:00.000Z	83429.93	83582.44	83186	83566.97	1428.79733
2026-10-01T09:00:00.000Z	83566.98	83896.01	83558.46	83782.01	721.11462
2026-10-01T10:00:00.000Z	83782.01	84098.01	83418.23	83966.28	465.6863
2026-10-01T11:00:00.000Z	83966.27	84048.01	83780.8	83905.76	424.0186
2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z	83905.76	84054.01	83657.02	83736.02	410.88076
2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z	83736.02	84023.78	83400	83939.67	998.33278
2026-10-01T14:00:00.000Z	83938.6	84332.01	83552.66	84050.65	1143.4352
2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z	84050.65	84744	83831.99	84162.65	2235.93216
2026-10-01T16:00:00.000Z	84162.66	84625.98	84064	84202.01	751.73824
2026-10-01T17:00:00.000Z	84202	85078.85	84198	84908.01	1161.14234
2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z	84908	85273.65	84671.01	84802.02	823.15515
2026-10-01T19:00:00.000Z	84802.02	84892.01	84585.81	84675.36	467.44684
2026-10-01T20:00:00.000Z	84675.36	84860.05	84563.54	84634	394.36355
2026-10-01T21:00:00.000Z	84634.01	84687.4	84493.35	84544.99	302.67133
2026-10-01T22:00:00.000Z	84544.99	84788.01	84537.12	84749.73	453.96769
2026-10-01T23:00:00.000Z	84749.74	84900	84644.69	84880.05	334.26683
2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z	84880.05	84958.48	84705.04	84784.89	801.38264
2026-10-02T01:00:00.000Z	84784.89	84986.39	84520	84910	372.71637
2026-10-02T02:00:00.000Z	84910.01	85189.97	84866.51	85188	641.82776
2026-10-02T03:00:00.000Z	85187.99	85569	85187.99	85512.9	779.56243
2026-10-02T04:00:00.000Z	85512.89	86912.75	85453.36	86652.12	2677.54548
2026-10-02T05:00:00.000Z	86652.12	86670.36	85893.27	86002.01	880.04033
2026-10-02T06:00:00.000Z	86002.01	86098.62	85875.32	85992.95	827.15501
2026-10-02T07:00:00.000Z	85992.96	86163.5	85767.45	86089.65	1220.73978
2026-10-02T08:00:00.000Z	86089.64	86640.61	86062.28	86236	736.95845
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z	86236.01	86432.01	86108	86364.02	1441.30154
2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z	86364.01	86500	86172	86297.6	452.52546
2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z	86297.6	86562.5	86274	86424.85	469.71424
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z	86424.85	87220	86308	86810	1981.72073
2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z	86810.01	87150	86465.72	86565.05	1254.08298
2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z	86565.06	86838.01	85394.44	85686.93	2161.00785
2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z	85686.93	85758.81	85162.9	85326	1180.77792
2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z	85326	85508	85018	85160.01	674.74913
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z	85160	85258.01	84300	84774.75	3627.53644
2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z	84774.75	84900	83888	84262.01	1168.56135
2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z	84262.01	84354.57	83975.58	84315.28	1115.36515
2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z	84315.27	84531.99	84232.01	84459.04	602.58932
2026-10-02T21:00:00.000Z	84459.04	84544.46	84422.01	84531.69	339.92666
2026-10-02T22:00:00.000Z	84531.68	84567.22	84460	84560	664.66409
2026-10-02T23:00:00.000Z	84559.99	84590.01	84488	84518.01	425.46843
2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z	84518	84686.28	84456.02	84660.11	312.84604
2026-10-03T01:00:00.000Z	84660.11	84720.58	84608.19	84640	238.75301
2026-10-03T02:00:00.000Z	84640.01	84701.38	84600	84600	223.23756
2026-10-03T03:00:00.000Z	84600.01	84699.56	84522.63	84699.56	210.83043
2026-10-03T04:00:00.000Z	84699.56	84725.04	84525	84577.23	152.17541
2026-10-03T05:00:00.000Z	84577.23	84654.01	84553.14	84652.09	147.94097
2026-10-03T06:00:00.000Z	84652.09	84674.01	84550	84586	272.31113

Bitcoin — from Monday risk-off to the test above $86,000

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

DISTINGUISH

REVIEW

Editorial responsibility

Observed data

Editorial interpretation

What we cannot infer

Analysis data

Structure of the move

Key levels

Reading the chart

Minimo settimanale

Riferimento 85k

PCE USA · 14:30

Espansione PCE

Breakout pre-NFP >86k

NFP USA · 14:30

Massimo settimanale

Rejection post-NFP

Previous context high

Previous context low

Focus high

Focus low

Context and catalyst

01What happened

02The move

03Before the move

04News / catalyst

05Price structure

06Liquidity

07Session and timing

08Volume / volatility

09The Disciply perspective

10What this move teaches us