Relative measures for the same feed and timeframe. DVI is not VIX and does not directly compare different assets. Provider volume is not necessarily centralized. Broker calendars, rolls and splits are unverified: no conversion into CFD prices.
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: · Support 1.11714 – 1.11780
Why these levels mattered
Resistance 4H1.12339 – 1.12343
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/19/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/20/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 8
Tolerance ±0.00002 · Final status: Sweep: penetration and inside close
Resistance 4H1.11729 – 1.11779
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/27/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/28/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5
Tolerance ±0.00025 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close
Resistance 4H1.12225 – 1.12295
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/23/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/26/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5
Tolerance ±0.00035 · Final status: Sweep: penetration and inside close
Resistance 4H1.12367 – 1.12437
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/21/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5
Tolerance ±0.00035 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary
Resistance 4H1.12022 – 1.12086
Confirmed swing
Observed data 10/30/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/31/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Tolerance ±0.00032 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes
Resistance 4H1.12518 – 1.12594
Confirmed swing
Observed data 10/22/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/22/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Tolerance ±0.00038 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary
Resistance 4H1.12184 – 1.12248
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Tolerance ±0.00032 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close
Resistance 4H1.12563 – 1.12641
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/20/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Tolerance ±0.00039 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary
Support 4H1.12103 – 1.12179
Confirmed swing
Observed data 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Tolerance ±0.00038 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes
Resistance 4H1.11664 – 1.11716
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 10/28/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/29/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Tolerance ±0.00026 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes
Support 4H1.11988 – 1.12064
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Tolerance ±0.00038 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes
Support 4H1.11714 – 1.11780
Observed previous UTC day extremes
Observed data 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Tolerance ±0.00033 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes
Multi-timeframe context before the focus
Only complete UTC buckets closed before the focus are included. D1 is omitted without a verified market calendar.
1D · Higher timeframe bars cannot be reconstructed with complete bars and a verified calendar (market_calendar_unverified)
Confirmed swings: HH 1.12216 (11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LH 1.12061 (11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC) · HL 1.11747 (11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · HH 1.12663 (11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · HL 1.12141 (11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC) · HH 1.12664 (11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · LL 1.12026 (11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LH 1.12435 (11/6/26, 8:00 AM UTC)
News and economic calendar
No timed economic event is linked to these candles; editorial news remains context, not a proven cause
Review, risk and invalidation
Context first, then confirmation, then risk. An opposite close through the zone weakens the interpretation. Do not chase speed: rising volatility calls for a size review and does not guarantee continuation.
Relative measures for the same feed and timeframe. DVI is not VIX and does not directly compare different assets. Provider volume is not necessarily centralized. Broker calendars, rolls and splits are unverified: no conversion into CFD prices.
Sources and methodology
Wilder ATR 14; sample standard deviation of 14 log returns, unannualized; expansion TR / average of the preceding 14 TRs. DVI averages three percentile ranks against the last 252 preceding observations (minimum 40). Five bands are score quintiles, not empirical risk thresholds. Causal calculation; no future candles.
Observed discontinuities may be market closures or missing bars. They are not filled. ATR and returns include gaps between observations. (3)
EUR/USD H4 — open: 1.11460; close: 1.11387; high: 1.12664; low: 1.11306. The week closed below the open.
DISTINGUISH
H4 structure rejected 1.12664 and then moved toward 1.11306; the final recovery to 1.11387 did not erase the observed pressure.
REVIEW
Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 1.12664; invalidated by 1 close below 1.12664.
Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 1.11306; invalidated by 1 close above 1.11306.
Consolidation: closes between 1.11306 and 1.12664; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.