Contexte et catalyseur

01Ce qui s’est passé

EUR/USD H4 — ouverture: 1.11460; clôture: 1.11387; haut: 1.12664; bas: 1.11306. La semaine clôture sous l'ouverture.

02Le mouvement

Sur 30 bougies H4, le cours couvre la zone 1.11306–1.12664 et termine à 1.11387 : forte volatilité et solde final baissier.

03Avant le mouvement

La période utilise 30 bougies H4 entre le 2 et le 7 novembre 2026. Le calendrier électoral définit la fenêtre, pas une cause unique.

05Structure du prix

La structure H4 rejette 1.12664 puis évolue vers 1.11306 ; le rebond final à 1.11387 n'efface pas la pression observée.

06Liquidité

Les zones 1.12664 et 1.11306 sont des extrêmes vérifiés. Les 30 bougies OHLC ne prouvent ni stops ni ordres institutionnels réels.

07Séance et timing

Les 30 bougies H4 sont ordonnées en UTC ; la dernière clôture avant le 7 novembre 2026 et ne contient aucun flottant.

10Ce que ce mouvement nous apprend

Scénario haussier : 2 clôtures H4 au-dessus de 1.12664 ; invalidation par 1 clôture sous 1.12664.

Scénario baissier : 2 clôtures H4 sous 1.11306 ; invalidation par 1 clôture au-dessus de 1.11306.

Consolidation : clôtures entre 1.11306 et 1.12664 ; invalidation par 1 clôture confirmée hors de la zone.

Données OHLC de l’instantané
UTCOHLCV
2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z1.122851.124881.121981.124450
2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z1.124461.12687999999999991.123991.12420
2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z1.124211.12611.121191.121980
2026-10-16T20:00:00.000Z1.121991.123961.121641.123890
2026-10-19T00:00:00.000Z1.119641.123111.118021.122550
2026-10-19T04:00:00.000Z1.122541.123411.12221.123170
2026-10-19T08:00:00.000Z1.123181.123241.118591.121220
2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z1.121231.123061.120471.12230
2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z1.12231.122771.12021.121140
2026-10-19T20:00:00.000Z1.121141.121751.120621.12095000000000010
2026-10-20T00:00:00.000Z1.121061.121891.120631.12150
2026-10-20T04:00:00.000Z1.121491.123391.121321.123270
2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z1.123291.123471.121871.122060
2026-10-20T12:00:00.000Z1.122051.122951.120391.122490
2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z1.122491.126021.121991.123060
2026-10-20T20:00:00.000Z1.123071.123861.122751.123620
2026-10-21T00:00:00.000Z1.123611.123611.122371.12278000000000010
2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z1.122791.123061.122291.122360
2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z1.122351.12260999999999991.12156000000000011.122040
2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z1.122031.12351.121351.123090
2026-10-21T16:00:00.000Z1.123071.12373000000000011.121411.123230
2026-10-21T20:00:00.000Z1.12321999999999991.124021.12151.123080
2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z1.123061.123561.122011.123250
2026-10-22T04:00:00.000Z1.123261.12556000000000011.122681.124290
2026-10-22T08:00:00.000Z1.12431.125091.12261.123380
2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z1.123381.123631.119221.120470
2026-10-22T16:00:00.000Z1.120471.122531.11881.122360
2026-10-22T20:00:00.000Z1.122361.123091.121191.121310
2026-10-23T00:00:00.000Z1.12131.12261.120861.121920
2026-10-23T04:00:00.000Z1.121931.122291.120821.120830
2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z1.120831.121581.118411.118930
2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z1.118931.121131.118721.12060
2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z1.120591.120721.119091.119290
2026-10-23T20:00:00.000Z1.11931.120321.11891.120310
2026-10-25T20:00:00.000Z1.121971.122211.121921.121980
2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z1.121231.121921.120151.121740
2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z1.122151.12261.121911.122130
2026-10-26T08:00:00.000Z1.121631.121941.120321.120510
2026-10-26T12:00:00.000Z1.120411.120541.119271.119370
2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z1.117361.118561.117361.117890
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z1.119061.119081.117621.117680
2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z1.117451.117541.117151.117360
2026-10-27T04:00:00.000Z1.116931.11738999999999991.116871.117070
2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z1.116631.116841.115161.115670
2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z1.114111.115051.113771.114350
2026-10-27T16:00:00.000Z1.114371.115331.114011.114310
2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z1.11329000000000011.11381.113251.113360
2026-10-28T00:00:00.000Z1.112481.113071.112481.112610
2026-10-28T04:00:00.000Z1.112331.112711.112091.112090
2026-10-28T08:00:00.000Z1.111811.112271.111251.11210
2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z1.112651.113211.112041.113190
2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z1.11341.113941.112381.113860
2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z1.113521.11691.11221.115670
2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z1.115191.116031.11481.115230
2026-10-29T04:00:00.000Z1.11491.115781.114371.114610
2026-10-29T08:00:00.000Z1.113621.114791.113051.114740
2026-10-29T12:00:00.000Z1.113371.115151.113281.11410
2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z1.11351.117321.11268000000000011.116110
2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z1.116871.117071.116031.116770
2026-10-30T00:00:00.000Z1.117591.119171.117541.118290
2026-10-30T04:00:00.000Z1.119371.120231.118721.119090
2026-10-30T08:00:00.000Z1.118421.119641.117561.119630
2026-10-30T12:00:00.000Z1.11981.120541.118951.119360
2026-10-30T16:00:00.000Z1.114881.11661.11361.116290
2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z1.115091.117111.115061.116760
2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z1.11461.116331.11461.11560
2026-11-02T04:00:00.000Z1.116971.117181.116211.117130
2026-11-02T08:00:00.000Z1.118221.11981.117781.119750
2026-11-02T12:00:00.000Z1.121751.122011.120151.120710
2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z1.12141.122161.119351.119450
2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z1.120461.120591.1191.119810
2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z1.118541.119331.117771.119280
2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z1.118531.119241.117651.11920
2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z1.119191.120611.118481.120220
2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z1.119051.119091.11751.117950
2026-11-03T16:00:00.000Z1.119151.119781.117471.119370
2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z1.119411.11991.118891.119010
2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z1.119031.120831.117581.12034000000000010
2026-11-04T04:00:00.000Z1.123991.125821.122621.124920
2026-11-04T08:00:00.000Z1.123561.124431.12217000000000011.123960
2026-11-04T12:00:00.000Z1.12571.126471.123631.125220
2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z1.125941.126631.123061.123250
2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z1.123491.123911.121411.122270
2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z1.12241.12373000000000011.122181.12373000000000010
2026-11-05T04:00:00.000Z1.125431.126641.12495000000000011.126580
2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z1.125981.126621.123641.123890
2026-11-05T12:00:00.000Z1.123111.123491.121611.122150
2026-11-05T16:00:00.000Z1.121871.123681.120261.121840
2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z1.123911.124351.121781.122240
2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z1.121731.123071.120721.122660
2026-11-06T04:00:00.000Z1.120911.121221.119671.119880
2026-11-06T08:00:00.000Z1.119571.119851.11668000000000011.117760
2026-11-06T12:00:00.000Z1.117061.117941.116961.117260
2026-11-06T16:00:00.000Z1.114471.115971.113061.114550
2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z1.114451.114891.113561.113870