NAS100Indices

Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

UTCGlobal UTC

Nasdaq 100 H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

H4 Market Breakdown of Nasdaq 100: move, structure and observed levels during US election week.

NAS1004H · Nov 2, 2026Global UTCVolatilità

Tap an annotation to read its context

Focus close27,101.38

-1,347.74 · -4.74%

Focus change

Focus high28,832.18Focus low26,264.37

Focus volume0Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

Focus duration7,200 min30 candles · 4H

DISCIPLY INTELLIGENCE 3.0

Reconstructing the move from data

Quantitative analysis available

The move in 30 seconds

US100Cash# / 4H · 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC → 11/7/26, 12:00 AM UTC

Change -4.74% · Observed range 26,264.37 – 28,832.18 · 30 OHLC

Move Price closed the focus below its opening: 28,449.12 → 27,101.38 (-1,347.74; -4.74%).

Before Before the focus, available candles ranged between 28,091.03 – 30,023.32.

Confirmations The focus low fell below the previous low. Two closes beyond a zone confirmed at least one observed break (28,091.03; 12:00 PM UTC).

Weaknesses A break later closed back inside its zone.

Lesson The lesson is to separate the first crossing from confirmation and review what followed.

A level is a zone where price reacted. A wick beyond the zone is not a confirmed close. Confirmation becomes knowable only after subsequent candles.

Before the move

ATR 228.74642 · NATR 0.80475% · RV 0.62118%86.4/100ExtremeRange expansion · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 1.56641Historical percentiles NATR 91.83673 · RV 81.63265 · TR 85.7142910/30/26, 8:00 PM UTC · n=49

Peak DVI

ATR 245.43842 · NATR 0.88943% · RV 0.80079%100/100ExtremeRange expansion · TR / mean(TR prev 14) 3.47622Historical percentiles NATR 100 · RV 100 · TR 10011/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · n=63

What happened next

There are no completed candles after the focus

Relative measures for the same feed and timeframe. DVI is not VIX and does not directly compare different assets. Provider volume is not necessarily centralized. Broker calendars, rolls and splits are unverified: no conversion into CFD prices.

The move on the chart

Move timeline · 30 OHLC

11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 28,449.12 · H 28,570.77 · L 28,449.12 · C 28,570.77
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 28,584.15 · H 28,675.52 · L 28,571.52 · C 28,664.02
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 28,684.77 · H 28,689.90 · L 28,574.02 · C 28,615.15
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 28,640.40 · H 28,652.15 · L 28,602.65 · C 28,606.90
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 28,615.40 · H 28,749.12 · L 28,500.77 · C 28,595.42
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 28,416.72 · H 28,464.43 · L 28,049.85 · C 28,159.12
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 28,031.53 · H 28,148.85 · L 27,997.32 · C 28,079.72
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 28,110.85 · H 28,133.72 · L 28,027.47 · C 28,028.47
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 27,957.22 · H 28,032.97 · L 27,904.97 · C 28,003.85
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 28,104.35 · H 28,141.85 · L 27,981.60 · C 28,025.97
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 28,184.60 · H 28,304.25 · L 28,083.97 · C 28,296.03
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 28,240.01 · H 28,298.01 · L 28,107.22 · C 28,134.76
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 28,301.06 · H 28,383.77 · L 28,179.24 · C 28,203.99
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 27,738.89 · H 27,822.89 · L 27,495.77 · C 27,595.02
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 28,032.77 · H 28,149.39 · L 28,003.52 · C 28,137.52
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 28,335.77 · H 28,534.14 · L 28,329.14 · C 28,394.89
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 28,281.02 · H 28,832.18 · L 28,229.77 · C 28,487.71
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 28,625.27 · H 28,639.04 · L 28,459.29 · C 28,470.05
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 28,525.27 · H 28,540.90 · L 28,368.87 · C 28,380.02
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 28,214.77 · H 28,348.90 · L 28,176.15 · C 28,180.02
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 28,051.52 · H 28,228.90 · L 28,047.40 · C 28,164.15
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 28,304.52 · H 28,338.90 · L 28,248.62 · C 28,290.15
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 28,182.15 · H 28,182.77 · L 26,612.74 · C 26,784.60
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 26,812.35 · H 27,062.70 · L 26,699.11 · C 26,945.72
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC
O 26,531.02 · H 26,640.65 · L 26,264.37 · C 26,620.12
11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 4:00 AM UTC
O 26,865.37 · H 27,052.90 · L 26,816.15 · C 26,825.52
11/6/26, 8:00 AM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 8:00 AM UTC
O 26,842.77 · H 26,932.77 · L 26,700.02 · C 26,869.90
11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC
O 27,033.65 · H 27,116.52 · L 26,947.77 · C 27,056.87
11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 4:00 PM UTC
O 27,050.65 · H 27,318.27 · L 26,933.15 · C 27,061.77
11/6/26, 8:00 PM UTC UTC
11/6/26, 8:00 PM UTC
O 26,993.88 · H 27,114.56 · L 26,928.46 · C 27,101.38
11/7/26, 12:00 AM UTC UTC

1Sweep: penetration and inside close11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 28,091.03
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC
2Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,049.85
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
2 related technical events · e-failed_breakout-74-l-support-70-22, e-failed_retest-74-l-support-64-20
3Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,091.03
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
2 related technical events · e-failed_breakout-78-l-support-64-20, e-failed_breakout-78-l-support-70-22
4Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 27,904.97
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
5Re-entry after acceptance11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 28,304.25
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC
2 related technical events · e-failed_retest-83-l-resistance-76-24, e-failed_retest-83-l-resistance-78-25
6Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 27,495.77
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC

All verified events (34)

1Sweep: penetration and inside close11/2/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 28,159.12
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46
2Close beyond the zone11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 28,028.47
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.48286 · body 82.38 · wick ↑22.87 ↓1.00 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,124.46
3Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,003.85
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46
4Close beyond the zone11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,003.85
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86 · TR / ATR(prev) 0.60402 · body 46.63 · wick ↑29.12 ↓52.25 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,082.86
5Retest with a maintained close11/3/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 28,025.97
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46
6Re-entry after acceptance11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,296.03
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,124.46
7Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/3/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,296.03
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,082.86
8Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 27,595.02
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.37505 · body 143.87 · wick ↑84.00 ↓99.25 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,124.46
9Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 27,595.02
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.37505 · body 143.87 · wick ↑84.00 ↓99.25 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,082.86
10Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 27,595.02
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 27,873.76 – 27,936.18 · TR / ATR(prev) 3.37505 · body 143.87 · wick ↑84.00 ↓99.25 · Review, risk and invalidation 27,936.18
11BOS: trend close beyond a swing11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 27,595.02
The close crossed the latest validated swing in the direction of an already rising or falling structure.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Support 27,873.76 – 27,936.18
12Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,137.52
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,124.46
13Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,137.52
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,082.86
14Failed break: close past the inner boundary11/4/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,137.52
Price closed back through the inner boundary before two acceptance closes: the break did not hold.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 27,873.76 – 27,936.18 · Review, risk and invalidation 27,936.18
15Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 28,394.89
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,272.77 – 28,335.73 · TR / ATR(prev) 1.48266 · body 59.12 · wick ↑139.25 ↓6.63 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,272.77
16Intrabar crossing without confirmation11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 28,394.89
The wick crossed the zone without an outside close. An intrabar crossing does not confirm a breakout.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,343.64 – 28,423.90
17Sweep: penetration and inside close11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,487.71
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,716.11 – 28,782.13
18Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,487.71
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,272.77 – 28,335.73
19Retest with a maintained close11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,487.71
Price touched the broken zone and closed on the breakout side: the retest held.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,272.77 – 28,335.73
20Close beyond the zone11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,487.71
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,343.64 – 28,423.90 · TR / ATR(prev) 2.17691 · body 206.69 · wick ↑344.47 ↓51.25 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,343.64
21CHoCH: counter-trend close beyond a swing11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 28,487.71
The close crossed the latest validated swing against the previous structure. This is a local change, not proof of a lasting reversal.
Knowable at candle close: 11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,343.64 – 28,423.90
22Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/4/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 28,470.05
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Resistance 28,343.64 – 28,423.90
23Re-entry after acceptance11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 28,180.02
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 28,272.77 – 28,335.73 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,272.77
24Re-entry after acceptance11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC · 28,180.02
After acceptance, price closed back through the inner boundary. Earlier confirmation did not guarantee continuation.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 28,343.64 – 28,423.90 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,343.64
25Sweep: penetration and inside close11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · 28,164.15
The wick crossed the zone and the candle closed through its inner boundary. This is an observed re-entry, not evidence of executed stops or orders.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46
26Intrabar crossing without confirmation11/5/26, 12:00 PM UTC · 28,290.15
The wick crossed the zone without an outside close. An intrabar crossing does not confirm a breakout.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Resistance 28,272.77 – 28,335.73
27Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 26,784.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46 · TR / ATR(prev) 6.36438 · body 1,397.55 · wick ↑0.62 ↓171.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,124.46
28Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 26,784.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86 · TR / ATR(prev) 6.36438 · body 1,397.55 · wick ↑0.62 ↓171.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 28,082.86
29Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 26,784.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 27,873.76 – 27,936.18 · TR / ATR(prev) 6.36438 · body 1,397.55 · wick ↑0.62 ↓171.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 27,936.18
30Close beyond the zone11/5/26, 4:00 PM UTC · 26,784.60
Price closed beyond the zone: an observed break with no subsequent confirmation yet.
Knowable at candle close: 11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 27,454.26 – 27,537.28 · TR / ATR(prev) 6.36438 · body 1,397.55 · wick ↑0.62 ↓171.86 · Review, risk and invalidation 27,537.28
31Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 26,945.72
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 28,057.60 – 28,124.46
32Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 26,945.72
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 28,016.84 – 28,082.86
33Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 26,945.72
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 27,873.76 – 27,936.18
34Acceptance: two consecutive closes11/5/26, 8:00 PM UTC · 26,945.72
Two consecutive closes remain beyond the zone. This confirmation is known only at the second close.
Knowable at candle close: 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 27,454.26 – 27,537.28

Why these levels mattered

Support 4H28,057.60 – 28,124.46

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/30/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4

Tolerance ±33.43 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H28,016.84 – 28,082.86

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3

Tolerance ±33.01 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Resistance 4H28,343.64 – 28,423.90

Confirmed swing

Observed data 11/4/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±40.13 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Resistance 4H28,272.77 – 28,335.73

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2

Tolerance ±31.48 · Final status: Intrabar crossing without confirmation

Support 4H27,454.26 – 27,537.28

Confirmed swing

Observed data 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±41.51 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H27,873.76 – 27,936.18

Confirmed swing

Observed data 11/3/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±31.21 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Resistance 4H28,716.11 – 28,782.13

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 11/2/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1

Tolerance ±33.01 · Final status: Sweep: penetration and inside close

Resistance 4H29,676.65 – 29,747.59

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/20/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5

Tolerance ±35.47 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Support 4H29,166.70 – 29,237.64

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/20/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5

Tolerance ±35.47 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Support 4H28,818.68 – 28,888.70

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/22/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/23/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4

Tolerance ±35.01 · Final status: Retest with a maintained close

Resistance 4H29,788.66 – 29,789.86

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/19/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/20/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4

Tolerance ±0.60 · Final status: Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Support 4H29,032.66 – 29,033.82

Observed previous UTC day extremes

Observed data 10/19/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Knowable at candle close 10/20/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4

Tolerance ±0.58 · Final status: Acceptance: two consecutive closes

Multi-timeframe context before the focus

Only complete UTC buckets closed before the focus are included. D1 is omitted without a verified market calendar.

1D · Higher timeframe bars cannot be reconstructed with complete bars and a verified calendar (market_calendar_unverified)

Confirmed swings: HL 29,329.27 (10/29/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · LH 29,577.52 (10/30/26, 12:00 AM UTC) · LH 28,749.12 (11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LL 27,904.97 (11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC) · LH 28,383.77 (11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC) · LL 27,495.77 (11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC) · HH 28,832.18 (11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC) · LL 26,264.37 (11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC)

News and economic calendar

No timed economic event is linked to these candles; editorial news remains context, not a proven cause

Review, risk and invalidation

Context first, then confirmation, then risk. An opposite close through the zone weakens the interpretation. Do not chase speed: rising volatility calls for a size review and does not guarantee continuation.

Sources and methodology

Wilder ATR 14; sample standard deviation of 14 log returns, unannualized; expansion TR / average of the preceding 14 TRs. DVI averages three percentile ranks against the last 252 preceding observations (minimum 40). Five bands are score quintiles, not empirical risk thresholds. Causal calculation; no future candles.

Observed discontinuities may be market closures or missing bars. They are not filled. ATR and returns include gaps between observations. (3)

Actual feed: mt5_node_b · US100Cash# · provider_unspecified
UTC / cutoff: 2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z → 2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z
SHA-256 / Observed data: 590be1278da7e1ff3ee17c113e7d0da36eac12faad0015d5a0f81b379454658b
Engine / rules: 2.0.0 / mb-price-action-2.0.0 · 94 OHLC

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

Nasdaq 100 H4 — open: 28449.12; close: 27101.38; high: 28832.18; low: 26264.37. The week closed below the open.

DISTINGUISH

H4 structure rejected 28832.18 and then moved toward 26264.37; the final recovery to 27101.38 did not erase the observed pressure.

REVIEW

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 28832.18; invalidated by 1 close below 28832.18. Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 26264.37; invalidated by 1 close above 26264.37. Consolidation: closes between 26264.37 and 28832.18; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Analysis data

Analysis data94 OHLC

Previous context high30,023.32

Previous context low28,091.03

Analysis focus30 candles

Structure of the move

13Sweep: penetration and inside closeSweep
14Failed break: close past the inner boundaryBreakout
15Failed break: close past the inner boundaryBreakout
16Failed break: close past the inner boundaryBreakout
17Re-entry after acceptanceRetest
18Acceptance: two consecutive closesBreakout
25FVG · 27,062.70 – 28,248.62Range

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 28832.18; invalidated by 1 close below 28832.18.

Reading the chart

Tap an annotation to read its context

1
Level
Support 4H · 28,091.03
11/2/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,057.60 → 28,124.46
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±33.43 · Knowable at candle close 11/2/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
2
Level
Support 4H · 28,049.85
11/3/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,016.84 → 28,082.86
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±33.01 · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 3
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
3
Level
Resistance 4H · 28,383.77
11/4/26, 12:00 PM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,343.64 → 28,423.90
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±40.13 · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
4
Level
Resistance 4H · 28,304.25
11/4/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,272.77 → 28,335.73
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±31.48 · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 2
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
5
Level
Support 4H · 27,495.77
11/4/26, 4:00 PM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 27,454.26 → 27,537.28
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±41.51 · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
6
Level
Support 4H · 27,904.97
11/3/26, 8:00 PM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 27,873.76 → 27,936.18
Confirmed swing · Tolerance ±31.21 · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
7
Level
Resistance 4H · 28,749.12
11/3/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,716.11 → 28,782.13
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±33.01 · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 1
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
8
Level
Resistance 4H · 29,712.12
10/21/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 29,676.65 → 29,747.59
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±35.47 · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
9
Level
Support 4H · 29,202.17
10/21/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 29,166.70 → 29,237.64
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±35.47 · Knowable at candle close 10/21/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 5
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
10
Level
Support 4H · 28,853.69
10/23/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 28,818.68 → 28,888.70
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±35.01 · Knowable at candle close 10/23/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
11
Level
Resistance 4H · 29,789.26
10/20/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 29,788.66 → 29,789.86
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.60 · Knowable at candle close 10/20/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
12
Level
Support 4H · 29,033.24
10/20/26, 4:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 29,032.66 → 29,033.82
Observed previous UTC day extremes · Tolerance ±0.58 · Knowable at candle close 10/20/26, 4:00 AM UTC · Separated reactions 4
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
13
Sweep
Sweep: penetration and inside close
11/2/26, 8:00 PM · 28,159.12
Sweep: penetration and inside close · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 28,091.03
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
14
Breakout
Failed break: close past the inner boundary
11/3/26, 4:00 PM · 28,296.03
Failed break: close past the inner boundary · Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC · Support 28,049.85
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
15
Breakout
Failed break: close past the inner boundary
11/4/26, 8:00 AM · 28,137.52
Failed break: close past the inner boundary · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 28,091.03
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
16
Breakout
Failed break: close past the inner boundary
11/4/26, 8:00 AM · 28,137.52
Failed break: close past the inner boundary · Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC · Support 27,904.97
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
17
Retest
Re-entry after acceptance
11/5/26, 4:00 AM · 28,180.02
Re-entry after acceptance · Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 8:00 AM UTC · Resistance 28,304.25
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
18
Breakout
Acceptance: two consecutive closes
11/5/26, 8:00 PM · 26,945.72
Acceptance: two consecutive closes · Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC · Support 27,495.77
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
19
Level
LH · 28,749.12
11/2/26, 4:00 PM · 28,749.12
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 4:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
20
Level
LL · 27,904.97
11/3/26, 8:00 AM · 27,904.97
Knowable at candle close 11/3/26, 8:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
21
Level
LH · 28,383.77
11/4/26, 12:00 AM · 28,383.77
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 12:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
22
Level
LL · 27,495.77
11/4/26, 4:00 AM · 27,495.77
Knowable at candle close 11/4/26, 4:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
23
Level
HH · 28,832.18
11/4/26, 4:00 PM · 28,832.18
Knowable at candle close 11/5/26, 4:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
24
Level
LL · 26,264.37
11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 26,264.37
Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 12:00 PM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
25
Range
FVG · 27,062.70 – 28,248.62
11/6/26, 12:00 AM → 11/6/26, 8:00 PM · 27,062.70 → 28,248.62
Knowable at candle close 11/6/26, 12:00 AM UTC
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Price reference · 4

26
Price reference
Previous context high
30,023.32
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
27
Price reference
Previous context low
28,091.03
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
28
Price reference
Focus high
11/4/26, 4:00 PM · 28,832.18
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑
29
Price reference
Focus low
11/6/26, 12:00 AM · 26,264.37
Level derived from the historical candles. Its presence alone does not confirm a breakout or a liquidity sweep.
Read context ↓Back to chart ↑

Context and catalyst

01What happened

Nasdaq 100 H4 — open: 28449.12; close: 27101.38; high: 28832.18; low: 26264.37. The week closed below the open.

02The move

Across 30 H4 candles, price covered the 26264.37–28832.18 range and ended at 27101.38: wide volatility with a bearish final balance.

03Before the move

The focus uses 30 H4 bars between November 2 and 7, 2026. Election timing defines the period but does not prove one cause.

05Price structure

H4 structure rejected 28832.18 and then moved toward 26264.37; the final recovery to 27101.38 did not erase the observed pressure.

06Liquidity

The 28832.18 and 26264.37 areas are verified extremes. The 30 OHLC candles cannot establish actual stops or institutional orders.

07Session and timing

The 30 H4 bars are ordered in UTC; the final included bar closed before November 7, 2026 and contains no floating candle.

10What this move teaches us

Bullish scenario: 2 H4 closes above 28832.18; invalidated by 1 close below 28832.18.

Bearish scenario: 2 H4 closes below 26264.37; invalidated by 1 close above 26264.37.

Consolidation: closes between 26264.37 and 28832.18; invalidated by 1 confirmed close outside the range.

Snapshot OHLC data

UTC	O	H	L	C
2026-10-16T08:00:00.000Z	29999.95	30023.32	29925.2	29941.82
2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z	29942.07	29975.32	29847.07	29864.2
2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z	29864.32	29884.45	29384.12	29414.83
2026-10-16T20:00:00.000Z	29415.08	29417.56	29073.61	29194.07
2026-10-19T00:00:00.000Z	29033.74	29476.64	29033.24	29435.64
2026-10-19T04:00:00.000Z	29436.14	29597.64	29436.14	29597.27
2026-10-19T08:00:00.000Z	29597.02	29619.64	29484.89	29486.64
2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z	29486.52	29588.77	29470.64	29553.14
2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z	29552.77	29789.26	29459.29	29599
2026-10-19T20:00:00.000Z	29599.25	29648.91	29510.44	29551.94
2026-10-20T00:00:00.000Z	29565.77	29615.67	29416.92	29456.8
2026-10-20T04:00:00.000Z	29456.55	29596.3	29388.17	29472.55
2026-10-20T08:00:00.000Z	29472.67	29547.05	29395.05	29418.8
2026-10-20T12:00:00.000Z	29418.42	29453.3	29289.17	29404.3
2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z	29404.05	29712.12	29202.17	29523.4
2026-10-20T20:00:00.000Z	29524.02	29708.89	29469.66	29703.31
2026-10-21T00:00:00.000Z	29715.97	29822.96	29672.46	29727.96
2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z	29727.83	29815.21	29660.46	29702.21
2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z	29702.08	29731.33	29549.08	29556.96
2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z	29557.08	29712.33	29539.46	29669.58
2026-10-21T16:00:00.000Z	29670.08	29918.74	29584.46	29882.31
2026-10-21T20:00:00.000Z	29882.44	29925.85	29702.99	29837.3
2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z	29792.76	29808.62	29574.15	29613.02
2026-10-22T04:00:00.000Z	29611.52	29628.77	29400.4	29438.77
2026-10-22T08:00:00.000Z	29437.9	29446.9	29240.9	29245.9
2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z	29245.52	29373.9	29239.27	29317.9
2026-10-22T16:00:00.000Z	29318.02	29409.73	28959.1	29057.94
2026-10-22T20:00:00.000Z	29058.93	29063.52	28853.69	28910.49
2026-10-23T00:00:00.000Z	28935.62	29026.4	28851.27	29009.52
2026-10-23T04:00:00.000Z	29009.02	29039.4	28884.65	28965.27
2026-10-23T08:00:00.000Z	28965.15	29107.02	28933.65	29040.27
2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z	29040.02	29057.4	28851.4	28878.4
2026-10-23T16:00:00.000Z	28879.27	29154.27	28817.4	29038.67
2026-10-23T20:00:00.000Z	29038.42	29056.96	28936.27	29009.05
2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z	29106.12	29181.65	28932.27	28972.9
2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z	28986.27	29003.9	28892.37	28953.27
2026-10-26T08:00:00.000Z	29010.65	29022.77	28891.52	28905.77
2026-10-26T12:00:00.000Z	29059.52	29141.02	28909.9	29138.52
2026-10-26T16:00:00.000Z	29045.02	29404.63	29009.9	29299.63
2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z	29358.95	29372.21	29261.48	29279.55
2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z	29308.45	29399.9	29250.62	29399.15
2026-10-27T04:00:00.000Z	29353.52	29360.15	29217.77	29265.77
2026-10-27T08:00:00.000Z	29223.52	29244.4	29127.4	29149.65
2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z	29315.9	29448.9	29229.77	29389.52
2026-10-27T16:00:00.000Z	29412.65	29678.41	29336.15	29675.26
2026-10-27T20:00:00.000Z	29628.74	29720.7	29597.05	29650.24
2026-10-28T00:00:00.000Z	29669.68	29706.27	29625.27	29670.4
2026-10-28T04:00:00.000Z	29713.15	29802.27	29683.65	29777.02
2026-10-28T08:00:00.000Z	29755.52	29826.4	29744.02	29816.15
2026-10-28T12:00:00.000Z	29789.9	29815.77	29732.02	29759.15
2026-10-28T16:00:00.000Z	29703.01	29717.9	29630.16	29701.58
2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z	29703.55	30007.64	29630.08	30004.66
2026-10-29T00:00:00.000Z	29616.37	29637.12	29461.27	29514.77
2026-10-29T04:00:00.000Z	29429.65	29434.52	29329.27	29407.9
2026-10-29T08:00:00.000Z	29530.9	29576.52	29415.15	29434.02
2026-10-29T12:00:00.000Z	29540.27	29577.52	29449.27	29457.4
2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z	29393.27	29522.27	29294.77	29460.27
2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z	29308.9	29431.89	29160.12	29160.61
2026-10-30T00:00:00.000Z	28989.56	29026.72	28879.1	28966.22
2026-10-30T04:00:00.000Z	28716.97	28820.35	28686.72	28779.6
2026-10-30T08:00:00.000Z	28831.35	28912.6	28759.47	28770.35
2026-10-30T12:00:00.000Z	28741.35	28741.35	28614.97	28670.35
2026-10-30T16:00:00.000Z	28694.34	28710.87	28453.28	28458.74
2026-10-30T20:00:00.000Z	28251	28441.12	28091.03	28424.65
2026-11-02T00:00:00.000Z	28449.12	28570.77	28449.12	28570.77
2026-11-02T04:00:00.000Z	28584.15	28675.52	28571.52	28664.02
2026-11-02T08:00:00.000Z	28684.77	28689.9	28574.02	28615.15
2026-11-02T12:00:00.000Z	28640.4	28652.15	28602.65	28606.9
2026-11-02T16:00:00.000Z	28615.4	28749.12	28500.77	28595.42
2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z	28416.72	28464.43	28049.85	28159.12
2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z	28031.53	28148.85	27997.32	28079.72
2026-11-03T04:00:00.000Z	28110.85	28133.72	28027.47	28028.47
2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z	27957.22	28032.97	27904.97	28003.85
2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z	28104.35	28141.85	27981.6	28025.97
2026-11-03T16:00:00.000Z	28184.6	28304.25	28083.97	28296.03
2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z	28240.01	28298.01	28107.22	28134.76
2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z	28301.06	28383.77	28179.24	28203.99
2026-11-04T04:00:00.000Z	27738.89	27822.89	27495.77	27595.02
2026-11-04T08:00:00.000Z	28032.77	28149.39	28003.52	28137.52
2026-11-04T12:00:00.000Z	28335.77	28534.14	28329.14	28394.89
2026-11-04T16:00:00.000Z	28281.02	28832.18	28229.77	28487.71
2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z	28625.27	28639.04	28459.29	28470.05
2026-11-05T00:00:00.000Z	28525.27	28540.9	28368.87	28380.02
2026-11-05T04:00:00.000Z	28214.77	28348.9	28176.15	28180.02
2026-11-05T08:00:00.000Z	28051.52	28228.9	28047.4	28164.15
2026-11-05T12:00:00.000Z	28304.52	28338.9	28248.62	28290.15
2026-11-05T16:00:00.000Z	28182.15	28182.77	26612.74	26784.6
2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z	26812.35	27062.7	26699.11	26945.72
2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z	26531.02	26640.65	26264.37	26620.12
2026-11-06T04:00:00.000Z	26865.37	27052.9	26816.15	26825.52
2026-11-06T08:00:00.000Z	26842.77	26932.77	26700.02	26869.9
2026-11-06T12:00:00.000Z	27033.65	27116.52	26947.77	27056.87
2026-11-06T16:00:00.000Z	27050.65	27318.27	26933.15	27061.77
2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z	26993.88	27114.56	26928.46	27101.38

Sources and methodologymt5_node_b · US100Cash#

mt5_node_b · US100Cash# · 94 OHLC · focus 302026-11-07T19:02:26.366Z · UTC

Volume: provider units, not necessarily centralized traded volume.

YMYL / TRUST

Editorial responsibility

Disciply Editorial ↗

Data captured: 2026-11-07T19:02:26.366Z
Data source: mt5_node_b · US100Cash#

Observed data

Prices, OHLC, timeframe and derived levels come from the frozen historical snapshot shown on this page.

Editorial interpretation

The text separates observed data from Disciply technical interpretation and described scenarios.

What we cannot infer

The snapshot does not establish future market direction, guarantee trading outcomes, or make provider volume equivalent to centralized traded volume.

Editorial responsibility · Disciply

Nasdaq 100 H4: reaction during the 2026 US election week

Reconstructing the move from data

The move in 30 seconds

Before the move

Peak DVI

What happened next

The move on the chart

Why these levels mattered

News and economic calendar

Review, risk and invalidation

Disciply analysis

OBSERVE

DISTINGUISH

REVIEW

Analysis data

Structure of the move

Key levels

Reading the chart

Support 4H · 28,091.03

Support 4H · 28,049.85

Resistance 4H · 28,383.77

Resistance 4H · 28,304.25

Support 4H · 27,495.77

Support 4H · 27,904.97

Resistance 4H · 28,749.12

Resistance 4H · 29,712.12

Support 4H · 29,202.17

Support 4H · 28,853.69

Resistance 4H · 29,789.26

Support 4H · 29,033.24

Sweep: penetration and inside close

Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Failed break: close past the inner boundary

Re-entry after acceptance

Acceptance: two consecutive closes

LH · 28,749.12

LL · 27,904.97

LH · 28,383.77

LL · 27,495.77

HH · 28,832.18

LL · 26,264.37

FVG · 27,062.70 – 28,248.62

Previous context high

Previous context low

Focus high

Focus low

Context and catalyst

01What happened

02The move

03Before the move

05Price structure

06Liquidity

07Session and timing

10What this move teaches us

Editorial responsibility

Observed data

Editorial interpretation

What we cannot infer